NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f97334ab5b973d9cabc575a302ffec250726a84e4e97b1ace89c193e9aed858
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,206 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 54c | 27,406$14,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,614.87 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 46c | 8,586$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949.4 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 46c | 3,262$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.03 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 46c | 2,974$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.09 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 2,791$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.23 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Under | 46c | 2,591$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.03 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 2,056$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.6 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 17c | 1,250$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.2 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 75c | 1,062$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Under | 46c | 854.4$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Under | 46c | 836.96$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 46c | 800$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 46c | 649$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.54 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 53c | 403.56$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.13 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 46c | 359$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.14 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Under | 46c | 354.48$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.06 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 54c | 348.66$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.38 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46bd…37e8backed Under | 46c | 269.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -20.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked Under | 46c | 213.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b7…be96backed Under | 46c | 190.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 55c | 182.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 295 | 54.6%161 W · 134 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f0…0b0fbacked Under | 47c | 165$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…2d07backed Under | 48c | 161$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 157.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.65 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 53c | 155$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…9153backed Under | 46c | 144.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f6…fd6ebacked Under | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 138.68$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Under | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Under | 42c | 119.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 46c | 114.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 107.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 16c | 99.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 97.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 43c | 82.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 81.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 61c | 81.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd449…d3d3backed Over | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Under | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 46c | 73.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Under | 48c | 66.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b40…aaafbacked Over | 54c | 61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a9…13d5backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x624e…f614backed Over | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 55c | 54.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 43c | 50.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…e3dabacked Over | 52c | 49$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 45.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 51c | 43.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 54c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 47c | 36.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 210 | 49.5%104 W · 106 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…6763backed Over | 59c | 33.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…d0f5backed Over | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7417…cdfebacked Over | 56c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 41c | 28.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 46c | 26.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f4…aaf3backed Over | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 59c | 24.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…fbcbbacked Over | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1570…a4efbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a61…64fcbacked Over | 56c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5this page
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Quentin Grimes: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Quentin Grimes: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)76ers won
- Spread: Thunder (-21.5)76ers won
- Thunder vs. 76ersThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 222.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 224.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 225.5Over won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 226.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trendon Watford: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.