TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x83b7…be96

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 57 out of 100; worst CS2 at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.88
Grizzlies vs. Hawks: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.37
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.78
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.53
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.1
Spurs vs. Heat: O/U 240.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.74
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.34
Thunder vs. 76ers: O/U 223.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.55
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.37
Warriors vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$46.13
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$62.22
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45.36
Clippers vs. Warriors: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.04
Spread: Warriors (-1.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$24.75
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+117.4%+$53.1
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$70.89
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$45.2
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$51.45
Spread: Rockets (-14.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100%+$51.47
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$97.88
Kings vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.62
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.37
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$12.61
Spread: Thunder (-17.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$15.06
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58%+$29.11
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$18.13
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.06
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.9
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.73
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.36
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$73.42
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.28
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.1%+$90.45
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.72
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.54
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.18
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$7
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.1
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.7
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.46
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$9.59
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$216.57
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.48
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.2%+$26.1
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.89
Sabres vs. Ducksbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.29
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$45.59
Predators vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$35.04
Avalanche vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$45.98
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$37.96
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+163.2%+$82.21
Stars vs. Canucksbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$6.7
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72.15
Red Wings vs. Predators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$45.15
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+100%+$29.67
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.65
Panthers vs. Islandersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Blues vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13.28
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$7.37
Golden Knights vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$22.78
Islanders vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.1
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Oilers vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.19
Bruins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$18.88
All 21 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$5.94
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.95
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.06
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.76
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.86
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+64.7%+$61.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.76
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$6.73
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.36
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$48.7
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.7
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.34
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+244.8%+$72.11
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked WHITEBIRD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.26
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.3
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.75
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$28.45
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.24
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.89
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$24.17
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.02
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
All 8 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+59.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-65.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.79
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.28
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+161%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+161%+$165.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Berger win the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$26.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$13.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Antalyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+100%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$65.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.