TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$464,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,406

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,365 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 417 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x082b…9e6cbacked Blue Jackets0c76,330$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fc…099dbacked Islanders49c40,377$19,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,592.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Blue Jackets56c39,973$22,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,384.8419848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Islanders33c36,000$11,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,299.895046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blue Jackets66c32,612$21,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,635.31,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Blue Jackets56c31,873$17,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,849.0767051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Islanders44c29,994$13,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,796.4730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blue Jackets51c15,876$8,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,092.491,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders44c13,500$5,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,559.991,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Islanders44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.6432151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Blue Jackets65c8,038$5,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20040356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Islanders49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,08012835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Islanders44c7,600$3,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,257.1361950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders44c6,767$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,789.61,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blue Jackets57c6,733$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,824.331,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Blue Jackets26c6,578$1,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.2939344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,799.951,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Blue Jackets56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.9422747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Islanders44c4,998$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,798.8821549.3%106 W · 109 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Blue Jackets59c4,660$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,76385250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Islanders27c4,499$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,284.0951452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blue Jackets55c4,279$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.5783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Blue Jackets56c4,100$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29629146.7%136 W · 155 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Blue Jackets73c3,947$2,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,881.4436748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x221d…e800backed Blue Jackets70c3,778$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.146657.6%38 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Blue Jackets56c3,516$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.156152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Islanders26c3,475$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,563.1326657.1%152 W · 114 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Blue Jackets75c3,347$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50031550.8%160 W · 155 L-11.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Islanders50c2,952$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,481.881,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Islanders48c2,876$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.4775251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jackets57c2,753$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.7261959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Blue Jackets57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Islanders32c2,347$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.5335829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Blue Jackets52c2,109$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1007361.6%45 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Blue Jackets71c2,102$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.0558467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blue Jackets57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,14060337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Islanders59c2,000$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.369258.7%54 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders41c1,769$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.242,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Blue Jackets57c1,760$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.222946.3%106 W · 123 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blue Jackets15c1,756$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6199638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…fdcebacked Blue Jackets73c1,569$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.5115057.3%86 W · 64 L+14.8wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+44.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Islanders29c1,313$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.912,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Islanders25c1,230$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.55959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Islanders44c1,119$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.6461953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Blue Jackets56c1,111$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.1633447.9%160 W · 174 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Islanders44c1,111$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.1591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8927…f5c6backed Islanders50c1,050$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52512436.3%45 W · 79 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb4e…c3c3backed Islanders38c1,004$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.7421534.4%74 W · 141 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56054047.6%257 W · 283 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae43…8194backed Islanders44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6337…62c5backed Islanders44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Islanders34c972.58$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.5711547%54 W · 61 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders43c959$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.891,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets70c945.73$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.263,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Islanders44c921.36$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.5121849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Blue Jackets57c880$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.624847.6%118 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Blue Jackets57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50029551.9%153 W · 142 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Blue Jackets57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Blue Jackets52c851.69$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.0357157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Blue Jackets28c843.43$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.7821555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb47c…9323backed Blue Jackets57c816.98$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.681050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ac…c0c4backed Blue Jackets57c757.16$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.581553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eca…838fbacked Islanders49c744$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65d8…9462backed Blue Jackets51c744$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.441450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jackets12c743.04$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.492,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Blue Jackets57c657.89$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37515252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Islanders31c647.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.91650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Blue Jackets58c605.66$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.1351949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Islanders44c600$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders43c600$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.291653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xba69…b2debacked Blue Jackets74c538.62$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.583953.8%21 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Islanders48c538.33$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3314837.2%55 W · 93 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Blue Jackets53c499.95$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9732451.2%166 W · 158 L+18.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Islanders44c452.95$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.6566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Blue Jackets57c452.7$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.6245751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Blue Jackets72c449.98$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.532150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Islanders49c449.44$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.215052%26 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Islanders44c443.18$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.1814048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Blue Jackets56c443.08$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1343548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Blue Jackets51c442.61$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1892049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Blue Jackets57c437.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25029946.8%140 W · 159 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Blue Jackets54c410.31$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5772448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5421…8414backed Blue Jackets57c405$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked Blue Jackets65c400$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2587671.1%54 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Islanders50c399.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.311450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa272…2253backed Islanders44c396.77$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Blue Jackets50c393.17$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.063847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf9b…9cafbacked Blue Jackets56c389.29$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3074…0d96backed Islanders45c388.89$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.89757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aae…2fe7backed Islanders44c385.73$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.011478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+51.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4419…116fbacked Blue Jackets57c383.61$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.661747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ec…0233backed Islanders44c369.45$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.891861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Islanders53c365.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.889355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Blue Jackets56c356.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039751.1%203 W · 194 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d4f…81a3backed Blue Jackets57c351.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.282347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Blue Jackets57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee57…b01abacked Blue Jackets57c347.89$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd97…776cbacked Islanders44c346.05$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.791668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab78…fac0backed Blue Jackets57c338.98$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.224546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc5b…a699backed Blue Jackets30c333.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.19714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.