TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1467…4372

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,268
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT32151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 321 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,100
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,934
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14,350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,349.92
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,009.95
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$21,107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,107.31
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,160
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14,827Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,827.37
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,857Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,856.83
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$3,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,417.99
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,255
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,811Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$3,629.35
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,449.94
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,004Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,004
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,470.97
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,588Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,724.2
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19,693Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16,112.14
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,000
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,190.29
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,500
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$6,331.71
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Showing 25 of 321 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT13045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,444
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$8,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,000
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)backed Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,000
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,553Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$3,993.15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,167
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,773Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,773
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,900Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,600
Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,166.67
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$7,247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$7,851.5
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,547.17
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$7,400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$6,562.26
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,238Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$7,533.17
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,500
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14,896Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18,206.12
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6,074.58
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$3,871Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+138.6%+$5,366.33
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21,362Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21,361.61
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10,546Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.6%+$11,034.71
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT9749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$9,865Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8,403.8
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,760
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,882Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,881.51
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$7,049Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$4,140.14
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,263
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,670
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,354Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,354
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$3,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,444
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$7,331Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,330.54
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,898Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,898
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,369Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,603.69
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$6,613Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,613.21
AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,442Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,560.96
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,413.9
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$2,724.36
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,422Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,422
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,420Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,419.97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,901Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,901
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,945.65
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,891Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,271.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,288Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$2,515.78
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9743.3%42 W · 55 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 97 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$6,650Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$11,322.97
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,199.74
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,950Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,439.83
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22,163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$15,401.57
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20,130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12,869.96
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,467Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$6,893.04
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$105.46
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,841.57
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,575
Spread: Spurs (-14.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,900
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,843Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,842.63
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,598.36
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,000
Spread: Pistons (-9.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,179.99
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,300.04
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$3,392.47
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,166Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,165.91
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,899Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,899.2
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$5,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,394.4
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$5,470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,470.2
Showing 25 of 97 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT8060%48 W · 32 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,451.61
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+81.5%+$2,036.74
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,500
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Jodar (+1.5)backed Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Set Handicap: Berrettini (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)backed Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,564.96
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,055.56
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,670
Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)backed Kouame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+62%+$1,547.45
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Paul (+1.5)backed Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,840Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,159.97
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Fonseca (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$4,940Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,559.98
Set Handicap: Tsitsipas (-1.5) vs Arnaldi (+1.5)backed Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,922Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.1%+$3,179.89
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$49.87
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Waltonbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$4,259.26
Roland Garros ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,936.51
Roland Garros ATP: Emilio Nava vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$9,561Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$8,482.56
Geneva Open: Learner Tien vs Alexander Bublikbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,363.64
Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14,258Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6,709.68
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Tirante · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$1,047.59
Set Handicap: Djokovic (-1.5) vs Prizmic (+1.5)backed Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,965Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$1,352.01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,732Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,732
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)backed Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$7,075Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,074.7
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Blockx (+1.5)backed Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,397Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,494.78
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockxbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$2,932Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$7,928.14
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST7549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11,344Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11,344
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$4,925.37
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,559Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$2,559
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+85.2%+$851.85
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,661Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$1,154.25
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$344
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+222.6%+$1,112.9
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$902.13
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+147.7%+$1,395.96
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$453.09
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$250
Will the Baltimore Ravens win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$566Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+203.3%+$1,150.89
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$1,564.1
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$749
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$744
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$749Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$749
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$864
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$500
Spread: Texans (-1.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+113%+$452.13
Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 36.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$224
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$129.3
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT7542.7%32 W · 43 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$11,084.91
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,236.42
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,444
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$9,120Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$6,880
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,444Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,444
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$5,631.62
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$3,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,454.3
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,253.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,892Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,184.36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,575Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$2,283.73
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,545.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,395Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,395.07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,013Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,399.54
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,584Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,880.41
FC Bayern München vs. Atalanta BC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$2,822.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$4,023.71
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$4,615.38
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,741Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$5,296.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,289
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,177Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,748.86
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$6,364.32
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15,600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+44.9%+$7,008.7
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6937.7%26 W · 43 L-7.6wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
UFC — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$3,055.56
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,903.58
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,820Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,820
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Steve Garcia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,430
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+233.3%+$11,666.67
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Geoff Neal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
UFC Fight Night: Ante Delija vs. Serghei Spivac (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Delija · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$5,000
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Zachary Reese (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reese · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
UFC Fight Night: Chidi Njokuani vs. Carlos Leal (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Phil Rowe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,251Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,251
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19,990
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$7,480
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,244
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Yadong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$285
UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$601.39
UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$144
UFC 324: Krylov vs. Bukauskas (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$315
UFC 324: Perez vs. Johnson (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Perez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+156.4%+$381.64
UFC 324: Hokit vs. Freeman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$233.14
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
UFC Fight Night: Chikadze vs. Vallejos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vallejos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$224.03
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$750
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Charrière · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$750
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$150
UFC Fight Night: Brito vs. Thomson (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Brito · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.2%+$291.68
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT6555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$6,779Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$6,257.89
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,242Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,242.47
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$3,103.77
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,468.25
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,244
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,081.63
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,123.19
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,121.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,702.54
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$2,013.86
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,351Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,741.74
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22,928Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$15,630.46
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,828.59
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$685.92
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,433Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,432.5
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,674Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,892.41
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,416Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,416
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,418Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,185.34
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,269Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,268.8
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,914Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$2,201.4
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,880Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,880
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,499Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,499.29
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,545Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,370.24
Will Elche CF win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,860
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4341.9%18 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+837.7%+$58,637.48
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,890.12
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$2,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,011
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,583.97
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,000
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$4,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,250
Colombia vs. Ghana: Team to Advancebacked Ghana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.11
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+170.7%+$4,266.5
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$333
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$1,992.51
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,000
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,950Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$4,397.83
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$4,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,400
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,450
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$599Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+37%+$221.57
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$5,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,339.99
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$3,258.62
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$8,457.45
Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$10,500
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19,890Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9,796.34
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$9,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$9,360.04
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13,504Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,503.83
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$6,725.49
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4264.3%27 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17,473.47
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$1,623.01
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$5,360Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$2,640
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$6,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,523.2
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,172Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$6,109.84
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,412Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+72.3%+$2,466.93
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$2,292.34
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,362Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$3,006.03
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,999.99
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,042.35
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,021Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$2,248.86
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,447Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,335.99
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,148.53
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,510Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,394.05
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,200
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,300
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$2,399.99
Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5)backed Bayer 04 Leverkusen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$2,774.34
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,850
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,757.92
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$2,083.83
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.4%+$1,606.13
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$433.33
Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$7,844Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$7,844
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST3748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Indiana (-7.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$744Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$744
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$707Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$707
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$970.59
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+76.2%+$166.14
LSU vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+85.3%+$213.37
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$200
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$276.92
Toledo vs. Louisvillebacked Toledo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Toledo vs. Louisville: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+93%+$279.04
Memphis vs. North Carolina Statebacked Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Ohio State vs. Indianabacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$500
BYU vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+117.4%+$586.96
Ohio State vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$167
Spread: Louisville (-2.5)backed Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$520.41
O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+83%+$1,244.36
O/U 49.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$1,570.83
California vs. San Diego State: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,250
Wyoming vs. Colorado: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$2,216.98
Florida vs. Miami: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$626
Temple vs. Georgia Tech: O/U 52.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$2,307.69
Auburn vs. Oklahoma: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,750
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,920Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$7,080
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,444Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,502.94
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,357Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$2,431.08
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,379.48
Will AS Roma win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$6,523Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,523.12
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,796Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$2,036.48
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,279Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,279.25
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,449.96
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,325
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,439.98
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,755Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$3,999.14
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,130
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$991Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$778.94
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,203Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$3,965.85
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$4,742Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$5,795.7
Will US Lecce win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+65.7%+$6,102.92
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11,625Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+62.6%+$7,272.88
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+63.9%+$321.59
US Cremonese vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$589
SSC Napoli vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3360.6%20 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$1,942.34
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,144
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,964.29
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$3,302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,302
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,930.48
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,389Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,389.3
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,338Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,338.12
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,452Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,452.3
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,454Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,513.45
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,772.83
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,965Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$1,895.61
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$4,097Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$5,214.36
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$3,928.57
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+162.8%+$4,069.86
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,500
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$2,936.51
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$4,602Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$3,765.52
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$8,513.51
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$6,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$6,800
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$5,737Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$5,737
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+93.2%+$6,991.8
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+57.4%+$4,301.77
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96%+$6,719.13
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18,197Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+54.4%+$9,896.56
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$3,520.83
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$2,070
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,450
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,887Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,886.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,434Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$3,877.92
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,096.25
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,422Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$2,623.83
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$3,972Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$4,303.09
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,468Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,020.48
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$3,211Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$2,627.1
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$5,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,000
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,995Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,995
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,999.5
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$5,527Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$9,411.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,861Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+233.4%+$4,342.67
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+72.4%+$7,241.27
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$4,025Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+73.9%+$2,973.23
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$3,500
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$6,235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$6,235
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$5,015Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+132.1%+$6,626.44
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$1,533.33
Will Paris FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+51.5%+$257.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,200
All 24 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,412Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,412.32
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,962Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,961.55
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$4,961Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,961.31
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$6,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$6,000
Houston Cougars vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15,043.35
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. Old Dominion Monarchsbacked Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$4,883Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$4,883
UCLA Bruins vs. Washington Huskiesbacked Washington Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000
All 7 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-44.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+178.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Dreambacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT+457.1%+$685.66
Lynx vs. Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Western Sydney Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,278Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$3,097.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+25%+$2,500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$888
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.