TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$690,021
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$705,843

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,021 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 556 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5966…f804backed Yes51c192,709$98,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98,281.79742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…f402backed No49c108,797$53,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55,486.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+70.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No49c79,119$38,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,350.714146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes51c68,627$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed No49c60,000$29,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,600580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No49c38,600$18,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,6866243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Yes69c31,122$21,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,498.913240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Yes51c30,529$15,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,569.6650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No49c30,000$14,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,3005964.4%38 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Yes51c22,500$11,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,4757656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No49c20,000$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Yes51c11,713$5,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,973.813744.5%61 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No67c10,351$6,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.646235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No49c9,650$4,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,920.974938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No48c8,806$4,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,578.9510539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes52c7,207$3,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,766.5319840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked No47c6,845$3,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.86475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+39.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes51c6,100$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,11160%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86f5…8d50backed Yes53c6,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No46c5,929$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,205.642133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55014250.7%72 W · 70 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No37c4,840$1,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,053.031,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked No31c4,839$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,338.712133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes5c4,638$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No51c4,537$2,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,229.3468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No32c4,411$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003.8792345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.636555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Yes51c4,014$2,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,047.351266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1209443.6%41 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed No49c3,922$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.092441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No46c3,718$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,007.73548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No60c3,513$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,420.6856439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…dababacked No31c3,222$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.071656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No66c3,221$2,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,098.553,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Yes73c3,007$2,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,195.346468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c2,924$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.44,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes40c2,776$1,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,097.644332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed No32c2,770$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,895.94425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No48c2,746$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,424.0648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes19c2,676$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.610938.5%42 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Yes52c2,636$1,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.928160.5%49 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No48c2,600$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.1963757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8c8…d8a4backed No48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3002857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2508246.3%38 W · 44 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes53c2,391$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26749447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked No49c2,300$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.993560%21 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Yes72c2,295$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes44c2,273$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked No55c2,222$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.187653.9%41 W · 35 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No27c2,153$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.3421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No28c2,095$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.396170.5%43 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+27.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6043…84afbacked No49c2,043$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e11…510bbacked Yes55c2,000$1,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes52c1,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008343.4%36 W · 47 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf375…f105backed Yes54c1,850$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9993953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes51c1,829$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.4322448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5019…f8b7backed Yes6c1,795$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick14cpaid+144.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No40c1,791$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.9998833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf7…f488backed Yes51c1,650$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$848425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-59%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes52c1,600$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82419255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes59c1,542$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.425940.7%24 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd594…98c4backed Yes51c1,370$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No46c1,363$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.792161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x168a…7e93backed No45c1,314$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6127349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63611566.1%76 W · 39 L+13.9wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+36.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes4c1,190$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.86328.6%18 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-37.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No48c1,152$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.022657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…34ecbacked No47c1,115$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.891471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf509…67b9backed Yes38c1,100$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4212669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes51c1,100$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5617851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No49c1,100$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.1522246.8%104 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…f457backed Yes56c1,077$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba1…0365backed Yes52c1,058$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes51c1,046$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.491553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa71…8aa0backed No61c1,000$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004358.1%25 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe30c…dbb1backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No49c999.97$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.984245.2%19 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes50c988.99$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.510450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002927.6%8 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-44.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012338.2%47 W · 76 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…702dbacked Yes51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004454.5%24 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30f8…5edbbacked Yes52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.23per pick56cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No47c954.59$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.9314951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ee…78ffbacked Yes71c934.14$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.24450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9792…9212backed Yes12c873.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.78728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c73…d54fbacked Yes11c843.39$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No58c824.94$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.412823.4%30 W · 98 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No48c820.85$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.843046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No37c813.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.356459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…92f3backed No57c799.94$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe04a…f990backed Yes62c771.74$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.88633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed No48c769.74$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.267560%45 W · 30 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes51c720.38$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.922446%103 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.