TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7fb…e5fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
270
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 61 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11256.3%63 W · 49 L+9.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$276Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+624.6%+$1,723.99
Will Julian Alvarez score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.88
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$272.78
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$167.69
Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$959.98
Will Dani Olmo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.1
Will Pedri score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$181.81
Will Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.34
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$835
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$7,489Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$4,022.81
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,369Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$1,069.55
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$5,125Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$2,586.34
Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.13
Will 6+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,680
Will Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200.99
Will 7+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,800
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,680Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,679.74
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,813Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$703.96
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$1,838.89
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$182.17
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,068Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$1,027.21
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,739Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+39.1%+$1,461.2
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$750
Will Julian Alvarez score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.6
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$784Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$783.81
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+6.5wins+0.17per pick37cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+502.4%+$1,668
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$541.86
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+97.2%+$985.99
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$722Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$722.21
Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$416.89
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.7
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+825.9%+$892
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$663
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$305.37
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$741Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$740.68
Will the biggest blowout win in the 2026 NBA Finals be by 20 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$1,948.92
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$706.02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$500
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 Eastern Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
Will New York Knicks advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$92.59
Will Cleveland Cavaliers advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Derrick White be named to the 2026 NBA All-Defensive First Team?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$469.99
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.64
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.52
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,110.49
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.37
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-05-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,723Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+117.7%+$3,205.64
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,600
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.34
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.62
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.83
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$839.91
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,139.86
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$740
Will CD Castellón win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$639.99
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,063Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,274.57
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,714Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,571.64
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118
Will Granada CF win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.77
Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,721Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,720.55
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Real Zaragoza win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$729.04
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Saint-Etienne achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$62.72
FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,040Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040
Will Lyon finish in the top 4 of the Ligue 1 2025–26 standings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$757Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$757.11
Will Auxerre place 16th for the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$850.3
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$528Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.41
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Angers SCO: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$629Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$629.21
Will Red Star FC achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+39%+$45.93
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$685Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$2,577.8
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+186%+$2,136.3
Will Stade de Reims achieve promotion from Ligue 2 to Ligue 1 for the 2026-27 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$579Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$240.05
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,960Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,960.08
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed FC Nantes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,552Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$2,099.95
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$622Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$621.7
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$45.21
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,578Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$588.16
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$810.49
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,260
All 18 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Chicago Wolves vs. Grand Rapids Griffinsbacked Chicago Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$110.63
AHL: Colorado Eagles vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Colorado Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$231.51
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Laval Rocketbacked Laval Rocket · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$728.84
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked San Jose Barracuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$301.72
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked San Jose Barracuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.36
AHL: Rochester Americans vs. Toronto Marliesbacked Rochester Americans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.99
AHL: Abbotsford Canucks vs. Ontario Reignbacked Ontario Reign · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$936Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.86
AHL: Henderson Silver Knights vs. Tucson Roadrunnersbacked Tucson Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$174.24
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Iowa Wildbacked Manitoba Moose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$405.99
AHL: Bridgeport Islanders vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguinsbacked Bridgeport Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.35
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Chicago Wolvesbacked Manitoba Moose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. Henderson Silver Knightsbacked Bakersfield Condors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200.15
AHL: Iowa Wild vs. Texas Starsbacked Texas Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Abbotsford Canucksbacked Manitoba Moose · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+52.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mohamed Salah play in Saudi Pro League next?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$118.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$539.98
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,926Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,926.11
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,850
Will Xabi Alonso be the next permanent manager of Chelsea F.C.?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.17
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$2,436.36
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$1,448.28
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$539.99
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,209Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$1,227.23
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$813.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-08-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$329.55
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,275Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,224.95
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.2
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$526
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13.64
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,216.57
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-04-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.74
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$2,282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$5,586.6
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$2,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 11, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-64.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick55cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.87
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$813Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+117.4%+$1,331.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Serbia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$765Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$764.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,859Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,859.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.