NHL · resolved market
AHL: Manitoba Moose vs. Abbotsford Canucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67a1c4ae40b8a2c93299ac43d0aff47874075be5a6ddaff3da777adb0e03d754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Abbotsford Canucksof Manitoba Moose, Abbotsford Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,102 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Abbotsford Canucks | 51c | 581.81$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.49 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Manitoba Moose | 49c | 528.49$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.96 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 434$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.68 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 412$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Abbotsford Canucks | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Manitoba Moose | 49c | 70.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Manitoba Moose | 48c | 63.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Abbotsford Canucks | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Manitoba Moose | 50c | 46.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Abbotsford Canucks | 47c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…72bebacked Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…4aafbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 29.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x794b…dd7ebacked Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Manitoba Moose | 50c | 28.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9362…95f8backed Manitoba Moose | 52c | 28.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0223…d6fcbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…f43fbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 27.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6f…c885backed Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ac…5fd6backed Manitoba Moose | 52c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ba…8f06backed Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…a1ddbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 24.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7582…9a45backed Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…97bfbacked Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…6882backed Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 23.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e1ffbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…6110backed Manitoba Moose | 52c | 23.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 22.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb11…687bbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 22.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x119a…f435backed Manitoba Moose | 52c | 22.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…805ebacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596f…4309backed Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bf…94bebacked Abbotsford Canucks | 48c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…9b5dbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 21.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…6ebfbacked Manitoba Moose | 52c | 21.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Manitoba Moose | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639a…34f8backed Manitoba Moose | 52c | 19.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Abbotsford Canucks | 72c | 16.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.