TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,002,820
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,022,170

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,002,820 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x54ac…7c14backed No57c521,156$295,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,533.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+156.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes43c265,329$115,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,109.2562648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes43c129,609$55,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,731.675642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ef…5a75backed No57c122,926$69,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,217.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+142.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes44c79,371$34,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,923.19250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes43c50,472$21,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,784.787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c35,640$19,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,474.821,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No56c35,000$19,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,40016644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe26c…88cfbacked Yes46c20,546$9,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,381.34728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes43c20,000$8,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6003256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes43c16,292$6,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.5324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes65c14,968$9,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,791.061040%4 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No57c11,738$6,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,075.5214346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes44c11,357$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.5852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No55c10,781$5,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,872.723450%17 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes43c10,574$4,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,515.061,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Yes43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8702853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes43c8,892$3,824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,823.773053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No54c7,407$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.45257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes55c5,595$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.2235157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Yes43c4,674$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.432744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes44c4,544$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.25947.5%28 W · 31 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed Yes44c4,500$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.9960%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes77c4,233$3,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,278.726942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Yes44c4,200$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed No57c4,133$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.04955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9202437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes45c3,821$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.8130448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes50c3,669$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,822.5645233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Yes43c3,488$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes44c3,093$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,360.384231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Yes43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2907549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes44c2,781$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.2428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes50c2,770$1,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38523250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes66c2,413$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.7848649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes44c2,274$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.4633145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Yes43c2,243$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.323135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes49c2,183$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,069.64650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes43c2,178$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.8216448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919b…f412backed No53c2,111$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed No51c2,067$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8602650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.9933148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No40c1,847$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,105.692552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed No53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.78850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes55c1,809$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.176943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes47c1,639$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.025860.3%35 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes61c1,557$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.0418046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked Yes41c1,522$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.71850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a30…34b1backed Yes63c1,503$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No55c1,375$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.721560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes49c1,370$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.14250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Yes44c1,355$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.27333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d1…0501backed No20c1,349$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick36cpaid+123.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes43c1,288$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.961030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No53c1,218$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.4226354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcb8…3058backed Yes76c1,216$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes45c1,185$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.4214654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Yes45c1,100$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.363336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked No38c1,026$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.1540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Yes48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4304751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes48c968.8$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.023737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.2wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-31.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Yes44c966.4$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.221855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes66c856.93$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.731520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes43c853.39$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.6510248%49 W · 53 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5140…9951backed Yes63c776.03$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.91060%6 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes50c770.38$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.1912738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes49c712.94$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.815651.8%29 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc43c…e9e8backed Yes41c704.51$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No41c675.8$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.095127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No56c675.41$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.139960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4af0…9996backed Yes45c671.44$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.15633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes54c665.09$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8829637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes10c642.94$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.236119.7%12 W · 49 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed No56c633.86$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.92458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Yes69c625.95$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes43c528.94$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.442944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No50c510.1$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.0521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c501.91$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3212963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes44c501.54$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.681735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+88.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83fe…88c7backed Yes7c501.11$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+81.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2102665.4%17 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+70.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No33c489.48$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.952050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes79c481.01$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes46c480$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1712238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes42c459.62$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.043850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed Yes45c451.12$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-63.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes66c444.11$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Yes45c443.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No59c405.12$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.18254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No64c395.12$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Yes12c394$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.122941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes48c392.36$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.9120150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1941030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes55c329.02$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1110938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.