TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,609
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,371

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,609 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2128…da98backed No73c13,712$10,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,704.221241.7%5 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Yes24c12,604$3,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,003.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No76c10,035$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,409.85642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c8,130$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,190.2129637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes28c4,894$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,370.194151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c4,112$3,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.221,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes27c3,482$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.0987344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c3,196$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.721,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c2,889$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7733145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No72c2,702$1,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.151668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.994250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.993461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes28c1,962$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.3512738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No67c1,946$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.8148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes23c1,941$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.381526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes79c1,905$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.3615071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Yes45c1,700$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.481752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes27c1,637$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.1412963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes27c1,637$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.149960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed No73c1,546$1,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes28c1,148$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4428448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No20c1,028$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.6826346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…bedabacked Yes11c967.37$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.93432.4%11 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c966.96$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7524349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes9c787.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.913619.4%7 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No66c770.18$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.3410938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No72c690.9$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.451250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes27c645.03$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9452550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No64c566.88$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.86943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6479…5e64backed Yes72c522.77$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.352259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aba…a21ebacked Yes23c495.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No29c485.26$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.155846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Yes26c468.65$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.851838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No76c462.81$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.0714346.9%67 W · 76 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No73c459.99$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.226354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes22c434.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.961723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No77c394.4$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.018066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c323.58$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No34c319.43$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.976936.2%25 W · 44 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes28c300$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8426041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e88…9b64backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481030%3 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick17cpaid+179.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe50…618abacked Yes16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes38c298.4$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.454231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No80c298.33$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.377060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c289$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c288.85$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.618155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1036…6c9fbacked Yes80c284.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No72c274.57$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.881172.7%8 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick73cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No17c273.5$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.976642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5617…8c67backed No72c270.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked No72c266.6$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.654100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c251.25$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3338056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…8052backed Yes8c242.4$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Yes27c238.09$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.298644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5124…d922backed Yes16c230.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.83425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No72c230.03$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.411553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes27c229.97$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.096443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes27c214.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2623342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No72c211.77$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.489046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed No80c200.92$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.181520%3 W · 12 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed No20c190.4$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.321844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes27c188.05$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.529152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2a3…3688backed Yes76c167.55$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes25c166.93$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.734845.8%22 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No39c163$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.932050%10 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes27c159.05$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.943336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes58c153.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.142552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Yes16c150$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+257.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No50c141.82$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.85127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes9c141.18$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.716755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes17c129.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222626.9%7 W · 19 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick15cpaid+92.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes15c129.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.374833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c127.49$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes23c124.41$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.612536%9 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed No77c122.52$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.182466.7%16 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab7c…746dbacked Yes56c121.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.39650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd3a…3203backed Yes28c114.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No25c112.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.6722854.4%124 W · 104 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes26c111.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.913844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6084…5c17backed Yes26c110.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf51…b580backed Yes26c109.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes23c103.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.852729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.338957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.644447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Yes26c99.24$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.82729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fd…3914backed Yes20c94.59$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+73.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed No79c94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes15c92.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.272040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No28c82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.0413246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes23c80$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.718847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No73c79.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.528643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No75c76.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.710364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Yes18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+647.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No32c73.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.975042%21 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes27c70.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.128056.3%45 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.