TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1036…6c9f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.88
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$16.89
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+77.2%+$15.04
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.61
Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$54.59
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.49
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$35.46
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$35.29
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.03
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.68
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.63
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.48
Los Angeles Angels vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$26.32
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$45.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 14.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.68
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$62.97
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.33
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10100%10 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Top Esports Challenger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$10.6
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$30.44
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$25.39
LoL: G2 NORD vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group Bbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.14
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+51.4%+$100.87
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$24.62
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$41.42
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$32.11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.25
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.61
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
All 5 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+652%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$115
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+154%+$46.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$43.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.99
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Cheeki_Breeki vs MODUS (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked Cheeki_Breeki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$48.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.