NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2df83525cd89a9849a4db78f744a4d6cdbd1ea4aaa15d23a3cd8d1fd9ecd6c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,688,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,846,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,688,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 227,267$109,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,087.97 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 46c | 190,881$87,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103,579.87 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 169,627$83,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,509.73 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b71…4e79backed Timberwolves | 58c | 166,425$97,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,241.25 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…11d7backed Nuggets | 8c | 150,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,999.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 77c | 142,083$109,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,066.93 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Timberwolves | 51c | 131,031$66,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64,205.19 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 49c | 125,305$61,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,576.96 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timberwolves | 73c | 122,562$88,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,675.21 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Nuggets | 49c | 119,841$58,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,860.28 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nuggets | 16c | 107,478$17,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,170.75 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Nuggets | 19c | 101,959$18,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,927.65 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Nuggets | 13c | 98,384$12,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,905.46 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Nuggets | 38c | 76,112$28,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,916.06 | 203 | 52.7%107 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Nuggets | 54c | 74,025$39,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,973.52 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Nuggets | 1c | 71,336$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.43 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Nuggets | 45c | 70,000$31,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,149.98 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Nuggets | 9c | 66,445$6,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,193.23 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 11c | 61,432$6,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,566.95 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Nuggets | 0c | 56,790$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 48,560$25,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,308.8 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nuggets | 20c | 47,226$9,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,440.53 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Nuggets | 0c | 47,003$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Nuggets | 51c | 46,230$23,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,678.09 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Nuggets | 49c | 45,734$22,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,409.63 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…b403backed Nuggets | 55c | 45,061$24,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,783.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcea7…813ebacked Nuggets | 1c | 43,943$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Timberwolves | 75c | 40,449$30,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,003.16 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Nuggets | 54c | 40,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.97 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed Nuggets | 1c | 38,454$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Nuggets | 48c | 37,549$18,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,023.68 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 51c | 36,839$18,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,051.26 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…a3e3backed Nuggets | 14c | 36,055$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,161.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 49c | 35,778$17,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,111.44 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 76c | 35,291$26,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,469.74 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Nuggets | 1c | 32,918$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.81 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 50c | 32,369$16,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,325.19 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Nuggets | 17c | 32,221$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.36 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Nuggets | 0c | 31,819$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Nuggets | 29c | 29,917$8,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,637.57 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f5…5e8abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 29,881$19,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,458.27 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…f5f1backed Nuggets | 0c | 29,097$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Nuggets | 45c | 28,502$12,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,942.06 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Nuggets | 15c | 28,298$4,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,198.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Timberwolves | 75c | 27,446$20,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,861.61 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nuggets | 2c | 27,206$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.13 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Timberwolves | 52c | 26,708$13,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,819.84 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Nuggets | 5c | 26,132$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.6 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 25,455$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,254.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Timberwolves | 52c | 24,775$12,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,891.88 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c34…c469backed Nuggets | 1c | 24,487$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.21 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -68%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Nuggets | 4c | 24,487$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.75 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd0…9220backed Nuggets | 49c | 24,422$11,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,966.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Nuggets | 1c | 24,354$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.67 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4ea1backed Timberwolves | 48c | 23,598$11,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,350.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Nuggets | 56c | 22,343$12,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,512.18 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Nuggets | 43c | 22,093$9,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,420.21 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Nuggets | 49c | 22,000$10,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,780 | 203 | 55.2%112 W · 91 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Timberwolves | 52c | 21,474$11,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,307.7 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf8…4406backed Nuggets | 9c | 21,290$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.09 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Nuggets | 49c | 20,126$9,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,860.45 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Nuggets | 53c | 20,000$10,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,599.98 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Nuggets | 49c | 19,784$9,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,694.02 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Nuggets | 53c | 19,680$10,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,430.4 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Timberwolves | 50c | 19,400$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6101…23bcbacked Nuggets | 9c | 18,908$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.72 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Nuggets | 5c | 18,860$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…b19abacked Nuggets | 26c | 18,677$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Timberwolves | 76c | 18,676$14,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,489.24 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Nuggets | 9c | 18,515$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.41 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Nuggets | 44c | 17,936$7,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,910.47 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nuggets | 55c | 17,691$9,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,730 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nuggets | 35c | 17,201$6,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,088.07 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Timberwolves | 46c | 15,482$7,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,360.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 15,107$7,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,970.59 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Timberwolves | 52c | 15,003$7,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,220.76 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1961…c461backed Timberwolves | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,349.99 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Nuggets | 2c | 14,652$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.3 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…c146backed Nuggets | 1c | 14,561$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.36 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 45c | 14,418$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,935.39 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 13,445$7,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,729.88 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Nuggets | 6c | 12,738$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.66 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…424bbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 12,693$6,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,094.62 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…eee3backed Nuggets | 2c | 12,415$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.78 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Nuggets | 1c | 12,113$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.61 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Nuggets | 50c | 12,102$6,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,011.22 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 49c | 11,814$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.64 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 11,721$6,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,692.91 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Timberwolves | 45c | 11,500$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,303.64 | 237 | 42.6%101 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 11,078$5,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.47 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 10,722$5,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.88 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdea…6951backed Nuggets | 20c | 10,221$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.23 | 204 | 34.8%71 W · 133 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,080$4,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,838.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Nuggets | 0c | 10,038$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7234…1d85backed Nuggets | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Nuggets | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.99 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Timberwolves | 45c | 10,000$4,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.84 | 659 | 39.5%260 W · 399 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Nuggets | 28c | 10,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.95 | 442 | 52.3%231 W · 211 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Nuggets | 49c | 9,892$4,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,846.99 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Nuggets | 49c | 9,857$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,829.93 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.