NBA · resolved market
Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf56f28bb25a2681cda25d061df852343b04e7f5e400a7622c0b2d9a9db247a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Yes | 50c | 2,598$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.84 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 50c | 1,910$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…21d7backed Yes | 44c | 338.11$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.83 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked No | 49c | 295.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.75 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 49c | 252.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 54c | 209.38$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…d224backed Yes | 46c | 169.41$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.39 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -6.8wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…6aafbacked No | 50c | 138.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea8…3d00backed Yes | 69c | 132.35$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Yes | 44c | 109.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 55c | 96.49$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.42 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 45c | 95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa245…bf9ebacked No | 79c | 74.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…0073backed No | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…6336backed No | 50c | 55.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c18…79f4backed Yes | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed No | 49c | 53.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 21c | 50.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed No | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes | 51c | 47.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Yes | 45c | 43.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46b6…d6d2backed No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764d…96aebacked No | 50c | 38.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca7…e965backed Yes | 44c | 38.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed No | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef0…c003backed No | 79c | 34.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 49c | 33.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 47c | 26.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed No | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…42d4backed Yes | 52c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 275 | 39.6%109 W · 166 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 56c | 20.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.