NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe677d006391aad1481c38ec3c3deabbef72f8472428edd92a6a58af153b525a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Nuggets, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $385,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $380,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $385,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 276 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 52c | 159,945$83,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,277.72 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 52c | 72,297$37,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,951.12 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Nuggets | 48c | 61,046$29,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,486.17 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Nuggets | 47c | 50,000$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,499.94 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Nuggets | 44c | 33,820$14,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,880.8 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Nuggets | 48c | 28,057$13,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,467.46 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 19,341$10,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,893.32 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Nuggets | 46c | 18,136$8,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,342.43 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 15,366$8,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,766.4 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 55c | 13,652$7,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,192.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 49c | 13,191$6,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,463.41 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Nuggets | 48c | 11,810$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,668.72 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e30…db49backed Nuggets | 48c | 11,777$5,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,652.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Timberwolves | 51c | 11,000$5,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,390 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Nuggets | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Nuggets | 48c | 10,092$4,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,844 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Nuggets | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.99 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Nuggets | 43c | 8,913$3,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,830.33 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Timberwolves | 57c | 8,903$5,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,828.16 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…a222backed Timberwolves | 52c | 7,284$3,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,496.32 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,905$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,834.35 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf3…4918backed Nuggets | 48c | 5,740$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,755.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Nuggets | 48c | 5,301$2,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,544.65 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Nuggets | 48c | 4,165$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.07 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 15c | 3,782$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nuggets | 48c | 3,622$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,738.45 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Timberwolves | 54c | 3,355$1,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.42 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Timberwolves | 60c | 3,104$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.99 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,937$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.57 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Nuggets | 40c | 2,910$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.1 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,500$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.42 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…eabbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 2,460$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.98 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Timberwolves | 56c | 2,249$1,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.41 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Nuggets | 42c | 2,202$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Timberwolves | 51c | 2,056$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.64 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Nuggets | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,854$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.25 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 1,826$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.22 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea9…0924backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,823$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.14 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…d613backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,821$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.6 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,591$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.9 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 1,557$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.09 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,431$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.1 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,411$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.27 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e84…768ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,389$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.53 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,385$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.58 | 116 | 51.7%60 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Timberwolves | 58c | 1,316$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.71 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked Timberwolves | 52c | 1,307$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.54 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe647…2040backed Nuggets | 49c | 1,286$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.11 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Timberwolves | 53c | 1,263$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.77 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Timberwolves | 74c | 1,114$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.18 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Timberwolves | 55c | 1,081$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.78 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Nuggets | 46c | 1,056$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.97 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 1,053$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.69 | 274 | 50%137 W · 137 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,050$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.4 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Nuggets | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Nuggets | 49c | 984.91$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.61 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Timberwolves | 53c | 981.49$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.31 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Nuggets | 48c | 880.42$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.6 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1b…7768backed Timberwolves | 53c | 843.4$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.4 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Nuggets | 47c | 835.87$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.71 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Nuggets | 48c | 784.28$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.33 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Nuggets | 48c | 769.74$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.47 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 697.54$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.82 | 240 | 44.6%107 W · 133 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Nuggets | 38c | 670.61$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.06 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Nuggets | 49c | 669$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.81 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Nuggets | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Nuggets | 48c | 539.4$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.91 | 223 | 49.8%111 W · 112 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Nuggets | 49c | 520.92$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.25 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Nuggets | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7b24backed Nuggets | 48c | 490.13$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.26 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Timberwolves | 54c | 483.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.55 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Nuggets | 46c | 461.59$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.35 | 236 | 52.5%124 W · 112 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Nuggets | 44c | 439.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Nuggets | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Nuggets | 48c | 403.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.76 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Nuggets | 38c | 396.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x902f…fb2dbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 367.17$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +13.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Timberwolves | 53c | 356.41$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.95 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf488…4a52backed Timberwolves | 53c | 352.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Nuggets | 45c | 350$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 394 | 35.3%139 W · 255 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1217…6211backed Timberwolves | 53c | 335.55$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…f43cbacked Nuggets | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…e2bbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 302.75$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.32 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 34cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Timberwolves | 53c | 301.04$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.35 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe51…e909backed Nuggets | 48c | 300.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Timberwolves | 74c | 299.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…627ebacked Timberwolves | 53c | 240.2$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Nuggets | 17c | 222.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Nuggets | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Nuggets | 48c | 207.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Nuggets | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 529 | 51.2%271 W · 258 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nuggets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Nuggets | 48c | 201.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Timberwolves | 52c | 197.98$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.03 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9f…ab5abacked Nuggets | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.