NBA · resolved market
Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0ac98919f46d8b4074d8667316c17b03cfe77bdb2d5c182b782242267d23fb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,603$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.96 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…6db2backed Yes | 57c | 1,359$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 45c | 588.85$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked No | 54c | 508.82$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.94 | 392 | 65.1%255 W · 137 L | +31.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed No | 50c | 489.15$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.59 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 38c | 445.94$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc4…db58backed Yes | 47c | 415.82$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 45c | 397.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.44 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Yes | 52c | 375.01$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.21 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 45c | 342.72$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.61 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 41c | 291.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…21d7backed Yes | 45c | 216.9$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed No | 48c | 209$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.68 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed No | 46c | 194.27$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed No | 48c | 136.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.74 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Yes | 54c | 135.4$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1495…d3f9backed Yes | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Yes | 38c | 128$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 49c | 117.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes | 38c | 113$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.28 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 48c | 103.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Yes | 52c | 94.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 51c | 87.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…4257backed Yes | 54c | 86.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…888fbacked Yes | 67c | 84.14$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Yes | 46c | 83.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7349backed No | 73c | 80.86$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Yes | 61c | 79.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7852…3eabbacked Yes | 50c | 78.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yes | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 48c | 65.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Yes | 52c | 65.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f60…a9a2backed Yes | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 302 | 56.6%171 W · 131 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…ae84backed Yes | 68c | 55.16$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Yes | 50c | 52.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yes | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked No | 49c | 45.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6207…f69bbacked Yes | 39c | 44.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Yes | 51c | 38.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 437 | 52.6%230 W · 207 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…89e5backed Yes | 52c | 37.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked No | 64c | 36.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 210 | 56.7%119 W · 91 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 34.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 52c | 34.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 57c | 33.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 328 | 66.5%218 W · 110 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 51c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 53c | 32.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 345 | 56.2%194 W · 151 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed No | 49c | 31.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 269 | 57.2%154 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…eed5backed Yes | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7861…3d27backed No | 69c | 24.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…90afbacked Yes | 50c | 24.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…f93fbacked Yes | 51c | 24.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 56c | 22.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Yes | 55c | 19.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.