TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,877
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,054

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,877 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1543…a222backed Over49c12,709$6,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,164.911947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85f0…3f67backed Under51c7,013$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,420.274546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Over47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.971030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Under57c3,511$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.94264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over44c3,169$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,391.221,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under57c2,932$1,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.3848352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under56c2,629$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.6489853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under75c2,455$1,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.0511864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over25c2,300$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5781,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under52c1,972$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.3420744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,966$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.071,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under53c1,812$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.734,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Under55c1,801$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.477156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over46c1,783$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.022,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over43c1,498$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.3416743.7%73 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under52c1,401$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.2724247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over45c1,224$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.5644740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over44c1,116$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4866352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4980…57febacked Under53c1,066$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.9610245.1%46 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Over47c999.99$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.9922752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over48c999.98$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9984150.3%423 W · 418 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Over47c999.96$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.988348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Under53c916.79$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.892556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c860.86$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.436,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Over45c859.47$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.2316642.2%70 W · 96 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc68a…07f0backed Under57c857.93$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.92842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over46c802.48$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1431046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c751.64$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Under56c714.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.611556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Under57c681.94$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.2314450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8911…5ffabacked Over11c677.85$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.192733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c643.86$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.041,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Over45c500$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0587049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over43c485.87$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.8317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe768…b331backed Under51c485.37$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.1239864.3%256 W · 142 L+33.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Under53c474.39$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.6815056%84 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over43c471.79$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.8932045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under52c461.53$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.532759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under54c453.79$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7447651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28a5…a850backed Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.34652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under53c367.34$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.659652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa686…5b61backed Under53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.362544%11 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Under53c361.44$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.883948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x665c…e2b9backed Under62c345.64$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.62933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09d3…3128backed Over45c338.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.352454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over43c300$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12922836.4%83 W · 145 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under53c291.54$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0244345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over49c289.47$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8480653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over45c214.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.711,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe45…a3e9backed Under57c213.28$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.714146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over49c211.03$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7410552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over49c190.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.341,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cd…7db3backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.658354.2%45 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Under54c178.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0111946.2%55 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe071…2d1abacked Under57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4948957.5%281 W · 208 L+2.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over48c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2566143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.223741.4%98 W · 139 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6808…899bbacked Over49c148.38$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.715451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under52c140.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3465045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over45c110.13$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.141,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over45c107.97$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.343638.9%14 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under56c103.93$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.731,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over27c103.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.283,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc789…7972backed Under53c100.85$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.416146.6%75 W · 86 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over30c100.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.371,26445.8%579 W · 685 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4541050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4610148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over47c99.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4736749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Under52c93.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8925360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed Under52c92.1$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2113956.1%78 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x785d…4e88backed Under57c90.09$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2afc…997cbacked Under56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.255850%29 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49a8…b182backed Under56c86.93$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.256152.5%32 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4325…39b8backed Under57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-39.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over25c82.57$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.641,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a1…578abacked Under53c82.51$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.782441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over47c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.644747%210 W · 237 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under56c79.47$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.976746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over29c75$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under53c73.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7345251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under56c69.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610040%40 W · 60 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Under57c68.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.32933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8195…c60cbacked Under55c67.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.211741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Under53c64.18$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1611850.8%60 W · 58 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e3…99a1backed Under57c64.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.553941%16 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under52c60.7$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.141,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…9ce4backed Under52c56.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8919952.3%104 W · 95 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Under53c55.01$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.859451.1%48 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Under54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8551651.2%264 W · 252 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0095…42c1backed Under57c51.27$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0521952.5%115 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.543750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over48c49.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05e5…1dd0backed Under53c47.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4141654.8%228 W · 188 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0435…cf1dbacked Under53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5416947.3%80 W · 89 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fee…842bbacked Under53c45.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ab6…6b4dbacked Under54c44.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa3…9f00backed Over49c44.34$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf614…dcbbbacked Under52c43.76$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under56c43.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.123354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+23.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.