NBA · resolved market
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7b038d1a6986437f77e6c78f6d6dbb3f5dbcddb88b3a2e274836f9d0468bfda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,877
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,877 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1543…a222backed Over | 49c | 12,709$6,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,164.91 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…3f67backed Under | 51c | 7,013$3,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,420.27 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…a237backed Over | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Under | 57c | 3,511$2,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.9 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Over | 44c | 3,169$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,391.22 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Under | 57c | 2,932$1,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.38 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 56c | 2,629$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.64 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 75c | 2,455$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.05 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 25c | 2,300$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 52c | 1,972$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.34 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,966$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.07 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 53c | 1,812$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Under | 55c | 1,801$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.47 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 1,783$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.02 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Over | 43c | 1,498$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.34 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Under | 52c | 1,401$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.27 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 45c | 1,224$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.56 | 447 | 40.7%182 W · 265 L | -27.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 44c | 1,116$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.48 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…57febacked Under | 53c | 1,066$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.96 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 227 | 52%118 W · 109 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 999.98$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 47c | 999.96$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d4…40b9backed Under | 53c | 916.79$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.89 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 52c | 860.86$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.43 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 45c | 859.47$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.23 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc68a…07f0backed Under | 57c | 857.93$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 46c | 802.48$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.14 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 751.64$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.67 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 56c | 714.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.6 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 57c | 681.94$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.23 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8911…5ffabacked Over | 11c | 677.85$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 43c | 643.86$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.04 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 45c | 500$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.05 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 43c | 485.87$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.83 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…b331backed Under | 51c | 485.37$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 398 | 64.3%256 W · 142 L | +33.7wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Under | 53c | 474.39$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.68 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 43c | 471.79$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.89 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccc…64c5backed Under | 52c | 461.53$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 54c | 453.79$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.74 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…a850backed Under | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Under | 53c | 367.34$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.65 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa686…5b61backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Under | 53c | 361.44$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x665c…e2b9backed Under | 62c | 345.64$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d3…3128backed Over | 45c | 338.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 49c | 289.47$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 214.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…a3e9backed Under | 57c | 213.28$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 49c | 211.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 49c | 190.5$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.34 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Under | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Under | 54c | 178.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Under | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 48c | 150$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Over | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 52c | 140.3$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.34 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 110.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 45c | 107.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Under | 56c | 103.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 27c | 103.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…7972backed Under | 53c | 100.85$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 30c | 100.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Under | 52c | 93.45$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 253 | 60.1%152 W · 101 L | +26.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Under | 52c | 92.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x785d…4e88backed Under | 57c | 90.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Under | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…39b8backed Under | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 25c | 82.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a1…578abacked Under | 53c | 82.51$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 447 | 47%210 W · 237 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…8b8bbacked Under | 56c | 79.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.97 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 53c | 73.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Under | 56c | 69.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 57c | 68.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8195…c60cbacked Under | 55c | 67.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbc…1d39backed Under | 53c | 64.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Under | 57c | 64.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 60.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…9ce4backed Under | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 199 | 52.3%104 W · 95 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…4acebacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Under | 54c | 54.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Under | 57c | 51.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 48c | 49.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 279 | 45.9%128 W · 151 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e5…1dd0backed Under | 53c | 47.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 416 | 54.8%228 W · 188 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0435…cf1dbacked Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fee…842bbacked Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab6…6b4dbacked Under | 54c | 44.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa3…9f00backed Over | 49c | 44.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…dcbbbacked Under | 52c | 43.76$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Under | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-0.5)Timberwolves won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 15.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Anthony Edwards: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cameron Johnson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Christian Braun: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jamal Murray: Points O/U 25.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Julius Randle: Points O/U 19.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 9.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 13.5Yes won
- Nuggets vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 233.5Under won
- Rudy Gobert: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-1.5)Timberwolves won
- Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)Timberwolves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.