TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x08fb…8b8b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
199
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT6746.3%31 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 67 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.4
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.2
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.97
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.01
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.19
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Franz Wagner: Points O/U 17.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Grizzlies vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.13
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.24
Hawks vs. Heat: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Warriors vs. Kings: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17
Pelicans vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.89
Celtics vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.32
Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 223.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.6
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.79
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 236.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Bucks vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Showing 25 of 67 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$300
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$84
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$121.52
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+95.8%+$239.58
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$43.5
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$102.4
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$103.53
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$84.58
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$57.86
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.7
United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Mexico vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.8
Brazil vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$17.2
United States vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
Egypt vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.38
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.45
San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Germany vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.8
Colombia vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+67.5%+$6.85
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.97
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.85
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$92.28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$40.6
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.6
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+189.6%+$37.92
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$4.87
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$25.86
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$90
Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.96
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.55
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.65
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.42
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.51
Will Real Racing Club vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.35
All 11 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Connah's Quay Nomads FC vs. FC Ballkani: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$26.82
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.19
Will AZ win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$16.76
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$52.14
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52.39
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.21
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.84
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+150%+$60
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+99.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-45.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
New York Yankees vs. Seattle Marinersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.33
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+114.5%+$22.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BK Hacken vs. Halmstads BK: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+32.1%+$32.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.