Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d07fa05cc397516e959990d8f11906edd5a2ada7e842b275ab59c920187e46a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $172,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 47c | 69,891$32,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,921.25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 53c | 25,072$13,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.39 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 53c | 16,733$8,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,868.73 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 48c | 16,399$7,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,580.75 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,799.98 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes | 47c | 7,000$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 51c | 5,797$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.67 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked No | 53c | 4,200$2,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,226.01 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 3,715$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.66 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 3,445$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 32c | 3,075$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.62 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 50c | 2,964$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.21 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -5.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 53c | 2,790$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.55 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed No | 53c | 2,086$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.37 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 2,044$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.32 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 48c | 2,018$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Yes | 49c | 1,937$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 53c | 1,666$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.48 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 53c | 1,464$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.63 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 53c | 1,463$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.02 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 76c | 1,450$1,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 1,360$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.51 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 52c | 1,220$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.15 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 50c | 1,067$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 48c | 1,011$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 52c | 999.97$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.99 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed No | 3c | 948.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 53c | 911.87$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.93 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 33c | 892.46$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.52 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 53c | 888.16$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.78 | 109 | 56%61 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 42c | 828.17$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.66 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed No | 35c | 825.21$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccb6…0fb1backed Yes | 48c | 729.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 54c | 697.98$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.91 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 697.31$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.24 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed No | 51c | 689.13$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.45 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 53c | 663.88$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.85 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 69c | 591.2$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 52c | 590.04$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.39 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 56c | 582.24$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.34 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 45c | 566.98$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.52 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 53c | 566.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 47c | 514.51$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 47c | 499.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.98 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 10c | 462.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 53c | 458.4$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.95 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 27c | 456.17$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.17 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked No | 51c | 396.98$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.46 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 53c | 386.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed No | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 60c | 370.62$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41ce…6509backed No | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 53c | 366.7$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.35 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 53c | 363.82$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.82 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed No | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 355.55$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed No | 51c | 330.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 48c | 299.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 292.21$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.12 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Yes | 50c | 291$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 63c | 285.72$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 52c | 277.81$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc389…d228backed No | 5c | 264.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed No | 51c | 256.3$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 47c | 255.8$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 42c | 255.78$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 53c | 244.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 241.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 50c | 239.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 155 | 62.6%97 W · 58 L | +22.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 48c | 238.71$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 48c | 237.01$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 53c | 230.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 53c | 230.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 53c | 230.32$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.07 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 47c | 230$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed No | 28c | 223.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 52c | 219.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.76 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Yes | 47c | 210.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.63 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 15c | 207.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Yes | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked Yes | 47c | 206$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 52c | 203.19$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 53c | 201.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 50c | 197.88$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed No | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 186.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 53c | 186.7$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.75 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.