TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f42…a8fe

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
213
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT5154.9%28 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Torino FC vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.99
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$60.8
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$61.2
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.34
SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$34.6
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$684Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$683.84
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30,210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30,209.98
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$3,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,051.32
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,379.98
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$455.99
Genoa CFC vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.2
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$334.99
Juventus FC vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$7,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$3,064.27
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,059
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$624Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$649.3
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)backed Parma Calcio 1913 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,100
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.2
AS Roma vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,650Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,350
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,025Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$674.88
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11,900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5,100
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,360
Hellas Verona FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$564.1
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12,600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5,400
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.7
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,956Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,148.53
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Robert Lewandowski: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 0 - 3 FC Barcelona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.74
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,976Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$494
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,077Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$616.82
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$826.48
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.14
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$51.88
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$163.83
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$53.32
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.95
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$88.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,375Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$1,110.93
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$783.44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$49.25
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.84
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$88.18
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$165.11
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT2263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.8
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$3,154Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$2,477.77
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,162Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$347.07
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,288Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,012
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16,874Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+32.4%+$5,464.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$312.4
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,353.02
Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,751Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$2,264.36
Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$196.4
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19,646.08
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38,764Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$38,764.3
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.72
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$41.5
Will Levante UD win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.34
Will Athletic Club vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$54.58
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.35
Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.99
Will Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$43.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$4,433Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,477.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$3,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,940
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.1
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$18.25
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Everton FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,750
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$840
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$679.99
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$213
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,547Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61%+$1,552.98
Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$3,150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$2,238.46
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$3,066Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,133.97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$975
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.14
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.4
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.58
Manchester United FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$117.25
Will Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.56
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$18.19
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$93.94
All 19 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.5
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Svitolina (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$748Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$352
Gauff vs. Svitolina: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Stan Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$179.3
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.78
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Gabriela Ruse vs Dayana Yastremskabacked Dayana Yastremska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Andrey Rublev vs Zizou Bergsbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.9
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.49
Sarasota: Darwin Blanch vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.63
Madrid: Edas Butvilas vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.3
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$12.55
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Monza: Raphael Collignon vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.57
Mexico City: Andres Martin vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Stefano Napolitano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$18.88
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$123.02
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.64
Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will AEK Athens win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.18
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$97.41
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.34
Will FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$157.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick62cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$44.82
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$17.65
San Diego Padres vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$16.95
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.88
Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
Chicago Cubs vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+25%+$24.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.31per pick68cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick72cpaid+17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-57.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$193.9
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,086Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$2,328.02
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+669.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$334.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+62%+$30.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Akimbo Esports (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Group Abacked FarmVille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.