South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395aa91386c3fb9e8060214643e77f632c97db0824a6e895f2ff6bd8c6c016de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed No | 51c | 3,555$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.05 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 3,488$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.96 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…2732backed Yes | 26c | 1,838$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 998.72$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.98 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 879.65$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 849.71$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.6 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 39c | 847.9$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.93 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 804.27$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.16 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 27c | 528.29$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.44 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 393.59$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 21c | 376.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 60c | 370.32$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 24c | 363.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.59 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 61c | 320.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5db0…a3b6backed Yes | 79c | 290.88$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Yes | 73c | 271.18$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 253.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.81 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes | 67c | 233.76$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.92 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 36c | 173.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 24c | 173.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed No | 60c | 149.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 104.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…4d0abacked Yes | 39c | 98.81$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +102%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 76c | 98.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.91 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb0…cfdabacked No | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b0…7b16backed No | 20c | 95.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 25c | 90.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 55c | 86.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f5…8314backed No | 74c | 68.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed No | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed Yes | 39c | 63.61$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 40c | 62.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 40c | 62.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 40c | 62.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Yes | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 76c | 59.51$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 25c | 55.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 92 | 29.3%27 W · 65 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…a8febacked No | 75c | 52.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 39c | 51.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 39c | 46.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 75c | 46.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 42.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 75c | 40.87$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 74c | 29.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x654f…61eebacked No | 75c | 24.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 76c | 24.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…d56abacked Yes | 60c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 61c | 18.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e98…619ebacked Yes | 66c | 17.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…4ae5backed No | 67c | 16.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…b072backed No | 75c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. Fluminense FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo La Guaira FC win on 2026-04-07?No won
- Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.