TailMyPicks
Market

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-07?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$296,172
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$281,788

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,172 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked No38c174,040$66,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107,477.244238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes62c26,219$16,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,361.11,29643%557 W · 739 L+0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes61c18,894$11,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,525.4719846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes48c14,913$7,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,113.2621251.9%110 W · 102 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes48c14,608$6,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,983.675,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes63c12,914$8,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,106.657950.6%40 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes61c12,428$7,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,600.9742962.2%267 W · 162 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes57c9,957$5,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,630.628,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes47c6,067$2,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.36955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes61c4,803$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,929.83148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Yes60c4,404$2,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,653.633560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes60c4,330$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.4865058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes61c4,159$2,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,537.27441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Yes62c3,924$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.1841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes62c3,924$2,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,443.1847756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes62c3,902$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.9457157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Yes62c3,776$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.1912361.8%76 W · 47 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes57c3,650$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,097.431145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No47c3,406$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.996355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes49c3,178$1,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.0430841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes60c3,130$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,870.631,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c2,666$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.232,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No37c2,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2703844.7%17 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No39c1,919$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.333834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02fa…04d4backed Yes61c1,756$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes42c1,592$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.5610564.8%68 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No37c1,500$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.9833745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes52c1,455$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Yes63c1,410$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.732254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Yes61c1,392$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.5328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes44c1,369$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.812441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked No38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.733151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes64c1,178$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$748.2810155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes62c1,140$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.691,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes61c1,103$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67310456.7%59 W · 45 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes61c1,035$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.226451.6%33 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.065168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes61c963.36$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.0816653.6%89 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No39c950.56$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.822,51939%982 W · 1,537 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…145cbacked Yes62c915.43$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes63c906.26$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.2416262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27b2…3f25backed Yes63c898.64$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes61c813.43$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.1916534.5%57 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Yes61c799.9$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.1236757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes61c799.86$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.1226160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0542…e195backed Yes52c768$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.365832.8%19 W · 39 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes63c762.06$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.113257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes61c639.79$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4816759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No38c621.26$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.181693.8%15 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.24per pick70cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c78…402dbacked Yes58c614.62$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7249…9c6cbacked Yes62c604.81$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de3…e096backed Yes62c572.6$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0160%0 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes61c566.51$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.311,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Yes60c552$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.3816255.6%90 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9303…0bc7backed Yes62c548$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.76714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick44cpaid-50.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb234…5b9ebacked Yes63c498.8$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed No39c498.23$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.2817143.9%75 W · 96 L-9.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Yes40c482$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.81520%3 W · 12 L-3.3wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes61c480.63$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.677660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes61c479.89$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.927857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5734…698bbacked Yes64c461.65$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.56837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes56c454.82$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.6320059.5%119 W · 81 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Yes52c444.28$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.57957%45 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc0…6139backed Yes40c400$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No51c399.96$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.986357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes61c399.81$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0919056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0da…b072backed Yes58c384.27$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.011163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No52c370.26$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.379054.4%49 W · 41 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x044e…28d3backed Yes64c364.98$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.132835.7%10 W · 18 L-4.7wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-32.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed Yes61c361.63$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.64156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac4…ef2dbacked Yes59c358.05$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.251855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Yes61c320.2$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f5…8314backed Yes61c317.71$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.386845.6%31 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes25c311.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3885220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ae1…d8a2backed Yes64c305.75$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed Yes62c304.97$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.083151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes50c299.26$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6539127.1%106 W · 285 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed Yes19c298.07$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No36c297.69$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.159229.3%27 W · 65 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No38c296.95$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.1111763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Yes63c293.34$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.84055%22 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes61c292.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.72757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No38c284$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.0813545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…585bbacked Yes63c265.4$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No37c249.89$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.439956.6%56 W · 43 L+12.3wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ccb…604ebacked Yes61c247.09$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.79944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes62c244.65$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1513351.1%68 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No36c243$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5217560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Yes62c240.67$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.297955.7%44 W · 35 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes61c240.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.491546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0f4…5107backed Yes57c237.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.381154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes51c232.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.281,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17b8…5049backed Yes61c228.01$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.091540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes55c227.81$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.423254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf57a…bd53backed Yes63c225.02$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.761952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Yes61c224.01$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.738964%57 W · 32 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Yes61c212.23$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.582669.2%18 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6e5…b254backed Yes49c199.97$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.992548%12 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14fa…73f0backed Yes51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.066142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.