TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa361…3ea7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.63
Timberwolves vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.98
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.67
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.18
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Spread: Pelicans (-11.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$7.01
Spread: Bulls (-6.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.89
Spread: Bulls (-5.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.18
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.06
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$3.42
Wizards vs. Heatbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.16
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.31
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$98.18
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$16.58
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.59
All 19 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick65cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.36
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.24
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.92
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.65
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$10.16
Will Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.04
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.41
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$48.9
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.08
Oilers vs. Kingsbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.78
Kraken vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.47
Blue Jackets vs. Red Wingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+93.2%+$12.44
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$26.61
Flyers vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.24
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Penguins vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.51
Capitals vs. Devilsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-73.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$38.45
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.82
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Kevin Holland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$16.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+84.2%+$24.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Credit One Charleston Open: Renata Zarazua vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.