NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Heat

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8692f99e82aa17e829304b4ad33f823e92e507cf4b3af90ef823802a25a894a

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Heatof Wizards, Heat
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,354,179
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,365,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,354,179 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Wizards	5c	178,451$8,950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,950.26	292	45.5%133 W · 159 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Wizards	3c	61,523$1,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,596.21	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	5c	54,610$2,957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,956.87	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	0c	43,968$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.31	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Wizards	7c	41,597$2,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,911.79	146	63.7%93 W · 53 L	+11.6wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Wizards	7c	30,418$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030.43	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Wizards	5c	30,000$1,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,600	1,390	26%361 W · 1,029 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c15…35aebacked Wizards	5c	30,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.99	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-25%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca4b…521ebacked Wizards	6c	28,818$1,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,729.05	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	6c	27,997$1,680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,679.8	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wizards	3c	23,185$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$705.29	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	6c	20,249$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175.14	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	1c	16,863$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.35	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45b6…676fbacked Wizards	0c	16,603$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.66	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Wizards	5c	12,163$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.13	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Wizards	6c	11,200$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$714	659	39.5%260 W · 399 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Wizards	6c	11,009$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.52	158	50.6%80 W · 78 L	+10.3wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Wizards	5c	10,589$529 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.43	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e9c…6421backed Wizards	5c	10,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Wizards	5c	9,573$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.65	207	44%91 W · 116 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Wizards	4c	9,391$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.63	286	16.4%47 W · 239 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Wizards	6c	9,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	237	42.6%101 W · 136 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	5c	8,985$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.27	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Wizards	6c	7,879$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.74	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Wizards	6c	7,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	434	38.5%167 W · 267 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Wizards	6c	7,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	866	41.5%359 W · 507 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	6,714$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.24	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Wizards	5c	6,076$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$303.82	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	4c	5,759$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.06	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24ba…d462backed Wizards	7c	5,710$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.55	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards	0c	5,503$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.32	878	3%26 W · 852 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-62%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa361…3ea7backed Wizards	1c	5,391$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.16	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	54cpaid	-28%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Wizards	7c	5,249$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.37	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Wizards	7c	4,894$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.33	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Wizards	7c	4,892$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.2	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Wizards	6c	4,718$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.08	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2673…7965backed Wizards	0c	4,339$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	35cpaid	+36.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wizards	6c	4,024$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.83	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c8a…2052backed Wizards	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	58cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Wizards	6c	4,000$253 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.33	553	46.8%259 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0d…7435backed Wizards	6c	3,919$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.12	83	39.8%33 W · 50 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Wizards	7c	3,788$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.56	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Wizards	2c	3,486$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.41	360	23.1%83 W · 277 L	-15.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Wizards	8c	3,465$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.19	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Wizards	4c	3,224$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.96	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Wizards	4c	3,082$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.28	3,341	53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L	+108.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Wizards	6c	3,000$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.99	689	44%303 W · 386 L	+16.8wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	6c	2,871$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.25	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f5…fdebbacked Wizards	6c	2,859$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.85	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01f5…5cfbbacked Wizards	5c	2,727$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.19	164	21.3%35 W · 129 L	-10.7wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Wizards	6c	2,576$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.36	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3ba4…fd40backed Wizards	5c	2,444$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.21	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	-5.0wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Wizards	6c	2,440$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.4	248	41.1%102 W · 146 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Wizards	6c	2,140$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.4	167	43.7%73 W · 94 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x271f…c90abacked Wizards	5c	2,100$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe72f…05bdbacked Wizards	5c	2,084$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.2	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-50.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7918…fbb9backed Wizards	5c	2,079$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.95	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700c…315fbacked Wizards	5c	2,077$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.85	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd90e…9f65backed Wizards	5c	2,050$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe08…f60dbacked Wizards	5c	2,047$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.35	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+22%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x846f…1f4bbacked Wizards	5c	2,044$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.2	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-55%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0fb6…0e47backed Wizards	5c	2,036$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.8	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.25per pick	46cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54d2…a1f2backed Wizards	5c	2,025$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.25	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Wizards	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	310	46.8%145 W · 165 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Wizards	6c	2,000$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	256	41.4%106 W · 150 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2790…2233backed Wizards	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	197	35%69 W · 128 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6cf…6bb8backed Wizards	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9c…2140backed Wizards	5c	2,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Wizards	7c	1,993$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.19	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Wizards	8c	1,955$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.36	516	47.5%245 W · 271 L	-7.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Wizards	8c	1,933$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.66	350	52.6%184 W · 166 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0afd…0dfdbacked Wizards	7c	1,754$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.75	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae7e…202bbacked Wizards	5c	1,600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+3.2wins	+0.53per pick	30cpaid	+173.9%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9087…9532backed Wizards	6c	1,573$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.36	82	29.3%24 W · 58 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Wizards	6c	1,573$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.36	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd941…ccaabacked Wizards	6c	1,573$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.36	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Wizards	6c	1,513$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.78	65	50.8%33 W · 32 L	+6.2wins	+0.10per pick	41cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7960…b94fbacked Wizards	6c	1,500$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.5	197	51.8%102 W · 95 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91b…24a8backed Wizards	5c	1,500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Wizards	6c	1,474$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.43	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa98a…1902backed Wizards	6c	1,450$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.02	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa73a…656abacked Wizards	5c	1,382$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.12	252	26.6%67 W · 185 L	-26.7wins	-0.11per pick	37cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Wizards	6c	1,360$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.62	122	40.2%49 W · 73 L	-3.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bca…0d11backed Wizards	8c	1,309$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.68	102	52.9%54 W · 48 L	+6.5wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e14…82a5backed Wizards	8c	1,285$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.93	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	27cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa2d…18c6backed Wizards	8c	1,168$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.49	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Wizards	6c	1,152$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.11	169	59.8%101 W · 68 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x838e…484dbacked Wizards	8c	1,134$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.7	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-49%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa40e…7145backed Wizards	7c	1,089$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.43	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	28cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Wizards	5c	1,010$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.5	206	51.5%106 W · 100 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21e2…0a4cbacked Wizards	5c	1,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+31.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2099…3710backed Wizards	8c	989.66$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Wizards	2c	986.74$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.23	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Wizards	8c	973.52$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.47	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-9.5wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb92f…ce50backed Wizards	6c	943.6$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.62	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-13%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Wizards	5c	924.57$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.15	65	41.5%27 W · 38 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Wizards	11c	918.2$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101	81	54.3%44 W · 37 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9e5…1809backed Wizards	6c	849.24$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.95	44	59.1%26 W · 18 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f43…c0c2backed Wizards	8c	799.26$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.94	234	35.9%84 W · 150 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Wizards	5c	795.81$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.79	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Heatthis page
1H Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-16.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-17.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-18.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-19.5)Wizards won
Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Will Riley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 265.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Heat

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event