NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x555daa69c60fcbd4a5f7e805cee4621cc577d733c49209d6f68a4251f32464cf

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $40,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,588

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,193 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Over	47c	11,378$5,304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,074.71	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	53c	6,976$3,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,697.62	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb405…d977backed Over	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,999.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Under	56c	1,739$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$970.83	931	48.4%451 W · 480 L	+34.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under	55c	1,626$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.1	206	47.6%98 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe76a…fffabacked Under	50c	1,455$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$727.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9469…708dbacked Under	50c	1,261$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb96b…2b85backed Under	50c	1,164$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$582.15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	46c	1,130$519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.87	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over	48c	1,120$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.4	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over	45c	1,099$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$604.18	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x905f…3b18backed Under	52c	1,078$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.58	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over	44c	900$396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$504	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5e…1a04backed Under	55c	884.55$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486.5	61	62.3%38 W · 23 L	+5.9wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	53c	796.01$421 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.73	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Under	47c	782.83$366 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.17	221	40.7%90 W · 131 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	45c	739.12$333 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.89	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Under	54c	675.01$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.5	242	47.1%114 W · 128 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over	46c	638.7$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$344.59	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeae2…d963backed Over	46c	635.25$292 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.04	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Under	57c	549.36$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.93	140	46.4%65 W · 75 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	45c	517.02$230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.72	2,507	48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L	+19.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under	50c	485$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.5	331	50.8%168 W · 163 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	48c	419.44$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.99	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Under	55c	406.89$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.79	219	50.2%110 W · 109 L	+8.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under	54c	400$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Over	49c	395.67$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.79	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	55c	390.2$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.26	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	55c	390.2$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.26	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	55c	390.2$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.26	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over	69c	362.32$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.32	658	72.8%479 W · 179 L	+46.1wins	+0.07per pick	66cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under	55c	356.18$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.55	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under	58c	292.44$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.62	216	53.7%116 W · 100 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	31c	291.57$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.39	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	49c	268.51$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.47	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	46c	260.68$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.77	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over	55c	232.77$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.35	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5545…9d86backed Over	51c	231.34$117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.48	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b1…4814backed Under	52c	216.57$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.41	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-3.0wins	-0.15per pick	50cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	48c	186.83$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.07	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	52c	185.06$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.15	653	49.9%326 W · 327 L	+20.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Under	54c	180.07$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.24	329	52.9%174 W · 155 L	-11.7wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over	50c	180$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	213	47.9%102 W · 111 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over	45c	177.45$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.48	1,399	46.4%649 W · 750 L	-13.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	56c	164.09$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.19	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over	47c	156.84$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.13	648	44.8%290 W · 358 L	-32.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Under	51c	152.25$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.65	144	44.4%64 W · 80 L	-10.5wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Under	57c	150$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.5	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over	49c	149.96$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.48	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	50c	129.15$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.87	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe239…14eabacked Over	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	-2.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.48	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under	49c	98.92$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.47	108	50%54 W · 54 L	-8.6wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96ac…61e8backed Under	54c	97.24$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.51	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe4…ff5cbacked Over	50c	93.72$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.08	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d0f…42a8backed Over	45c	88.1$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.4wins	-0.21per pick	40cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over	67c	88$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.86	112	32.1%36 W · 76 L	-17.3wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe6d1…c15ebacked Under	55c	86.38$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.51	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+4.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x03a2…2a53backed Under	55c	86.37$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	53c	84.19$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.62	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Under	42c	79.13$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.59	377	53.8%203 W · 174 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over	38c	75.1$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.56	492	47.2%232 W · 260 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	49c	71$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	2,753	50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L	+47.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Under	51c	70.48$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.94	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under	53c	67.57$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	368	52.2%192 W · 176 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	53c	67.57$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under	53c	67.57$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.81	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under	53c	59.74$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.66	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under	31c	55.75$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.28	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over	49c	51.6$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	553	47.9%265 W · 288 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312d…6814backed Over	37c	39.05$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.6	285	48.4%138 W · 147 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over	48c	37.67$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.59	806	53.6%432 W · 374 L	+16.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82d…7199backed Under	53c	36.92$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.41	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.26per pick	38cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Over	50c	36.85$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.54	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	53c	36.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Over	41c	36.72$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.61	114	51.8%59 W · 55 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8d…1a96backed Over	47c	34.83$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.59	94	45.7%43 W · 51 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Under	51c	34.71$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.7	212	59.9%127 W · 85 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Over	42c	34.48$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Over	42c	34.47$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.99	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c6b…7823backed Under	50c	33.62$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7190…00e7backed Over	45c	31.95$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.57	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f5e…5cdbbacked Over	51c	31.27$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.32	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+23%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	51c	31.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.87	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under	51c	30.56$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.65	113	46%52 W · 61 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Over	46c	30.23$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.32	130	38.5%50 W · 80 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under	46c	30$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.65	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed Over	49c	26.19$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.4	264	50%132 W · 132 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over	48c	26.06$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.65	173	50.3%87 W · 86 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over	42c	25.73$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.92	447	47%210 W · 237 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e2c…9642backed Over	42c	25$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under	51c	24.51$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.52	195	50.8%99 W · 96 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	54c	24.26$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.14	890	48.8%434 W · 456 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked Over	49c	22.55$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.5	533	49.3%263 W · 270 L	-28.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x45db…08f3backed Over	49c	21.59$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.01	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Over	49c	21.57$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11	462	55.6%257 W · 205 L	+22.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0275…596dbacked Under	58c	20.17$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	167	49.1%82 W · 85 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Under	58c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	969	56.3%546 W · 423 L	+26.0wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeed1…0d39backed Under	56c	19.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.96	76	50%38 W · 38 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53fe…0485backed Under	55c	18.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 33 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5this page
1H Spread: Heat (-10.5)Heat won
Alexandre Sarr: Points O/U 13.5No won
Alexandre Sarr: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Bam Adebayo: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Bam Adebayo: Points O/U 24.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Points O/U 12.5No won
Bilal Coulibaly: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Kel'el Ware: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Pelle Larsson: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Pelle Larsson: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Spread: Heat (-14.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-15.5)Heat won
Spread: Heat (-16.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-17.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-18.5)Wizards won
Spread: Heat (-19.5)Wizards won
Tre Johnson: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Tre Johnson: Points O/U 12.5No won
Tre Johnson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Tyler Herro: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Tyler Herro: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
Will Riley: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
Wizards vs. HeatHeat won
Wizards vs. Heat: 1H MoneylineHeat won
Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 127.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 250.5Over won
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 265.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event