TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7096…7f78

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,090
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT65349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 653 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.27
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,898Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$939.57
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$3,147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,147.17
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,068Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,025.79
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,134
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$824.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.15
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,971Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+76.3%+$2,267.06
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+106.7%+$1,758.15
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.99
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,939.02
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,966Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,965.74
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$874.67
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$4,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,265.36
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$5,584Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+52.9%+$2,954.47
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.3
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.22
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$823Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$823.48
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,879.8
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$606.15
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,165.12
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$739.2
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,604Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,604.06
Showing 25 of 653 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT22250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 222 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$165.92
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$86.18
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.72
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$145.5
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.54
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$582Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$605.38
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.58
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 157.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$81.89
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.32
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.26
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.91
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.16
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked West Virginia Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.05
West Virginia Mountaineers vs. Creighton Bluejays: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$119.41
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-5.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Spread: Creighton Bluejays (-4.5)backed Rutgers Scarlet Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.76
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-7.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$43.09
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.46
Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.32
Baylor Bears vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.5
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.56
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.9
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$175.81
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.21
Showing 25 of 222 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT7454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Jets vs. Blues: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Wild vs. Red Wingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Maple Leafs vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
Canadiens vs. Devilsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Utah vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Jets vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Lightningbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wild vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wild vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Blues vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Blackhawks vs. Oilersbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Capitals vs. Devils: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$902.13
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$231.98
Jets vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
Flyers vs. Capitals: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$923.46
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Senators vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT7050%35 W · 35 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,079Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$507.71
San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$233.13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$527.39
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$272.95
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$237.91
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.55
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.8
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padresbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,059.74
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,081Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.53
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,071.62
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,066.34
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,112.22
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,060Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,060.4
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.8
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$2,816.54
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,066Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,065.67
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$241
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+125.1%+$74.57
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$822Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$965.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$4,965Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,965.36
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.15
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,884Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$3,059.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$818Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$1,335.25
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$830Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$830.11
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4434.1%15 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Valenciabacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,646Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,645.94
Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$822Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$822.46
Paris Basketball vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$93.25
Fenerbahce vs. Real Madridbacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.59
Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.54
Beijing Ducks vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Beijing Royal Fightersbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+123.2%+$208.51
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.13
Paris Basketball vs. Olimpia Milanobacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$106.69
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.39
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Ningbo Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.54
Qingdao Eagles vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.46
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.08
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.39
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$103.19
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Jilin Northeast Tigersbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.28
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Nanjing Monkey Kingbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+291.1%+$946.05
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+132.4%+$90.11
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$571.23
Beijing Ducks vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Zhejiang Golden Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$175
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whalesbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.04
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+34%+$17.02
San Marino vs. Andorra: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Singapore win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will Madagascar win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.35
Will Germany win on 2026-03-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.83
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.11
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Scotland vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Greece win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will Lithuania win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+41.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+152.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swansea City AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+123.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+147%+$146.95
Will SK Brann win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Getafe CF vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.