MLB · resolved market

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f053af31a98b6eb3dbce953d7fb8730f82e50688d4238bd84651806a99e74a

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,019,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,006,179

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,019,221 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed Under	50c	444,911$223,121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221,789.28	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Over	53c	189,895$100,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100,644.54	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.4wins	-0.31per pick	53cpaid	-58%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over	50c	178,866$89,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89,024.07	310	39%121 W · 189 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under	47c	100,000$47,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53,000	411	49.1%202 W · 209 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over	52c	64,591$33,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33,441.59	45	48.9%22 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8293…ddf4backed Over	39c	54,999$21,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,199.64	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	51c	54,736$27,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,012.68	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Over	50c	50,000$25,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,000	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Over	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,499.98	24	45.8%11 W · 13 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	49c	40,800$19,992 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,992	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	50c	37,767$18,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,750.44	1,355	49.8%675 W · 680 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over	50c	33,801$16,764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,764.14	1,041	50.1%522 W · 519 L	+17.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under	47c	25,807$12,128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,679.78	1,029	51.2%527 W · 502 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23c9…7095backed Over	0c	25,645$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Over	53c	21,290$11,266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,265.92	88	56.8%50 W · 38 L	+6.6wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+20%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	49c	21,117$10,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,785.85	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	51c	16,335$8,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,030.39	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under	50c	14,164$7,053 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,111.52	541	52.1%282 W · 259 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	51c	11,739$5,967 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,771.23	1,269	51.1%648 W · 621 L	+23.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	52c	11,397$5,883 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,513.51	344	52.6%181 W · 163 L	+6.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	61c	10,896$6,689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,206.7	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	55c	9,530$5,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,241.26	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Under	61c	7,955$4,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,071.01	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under	61c	7,944$4,884 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,059.55	70	50%35 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Under	45c	7,372$3,318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,054.73	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8a…433dbacked Over	50c	6,507$3,254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,253.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc28e…96febacked Over	54c	6,328$3,403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,402.94	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over	47c	5,857$2,780 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,780.2	2,389	43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Under	67c	5,679$3,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,854.28	252	66.3%167 W · 85 L	-7.9wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under	47c	5,375$2,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,848.97	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over	50c	3,952$1,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,995.47	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	52c	3,416$1,766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,766.17	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	52c	2,914$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,515.07	190	53.7%102 W · 88 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	53c	2,737$1,443 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,293.43	393	51.9%204 W · 189 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over	49c	2,550$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,251.22	192	48.4%93 W · 99 L	-5.5wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over	51c	2,447$1,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,248.64	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x995e…13aebacked Over	52c	2,428$1,263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.56	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-6.2wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-45%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Over	52c	2,375$1,234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,234.38	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under	47c	2,081$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.76	1,358	50.8%690 W · 668 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Over	52c	2,053$1,068 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,067.79	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under	48c	1,995$958 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,037.44	624	47.6%297 W · 327 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Over	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	493	58.8%290 W · 203 L	+30.9wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f08…5afbbacked Over	50c	1,811$906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$905.55	143	40.6%58 W · 85 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Over	52c	1,747$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.82	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	47c	1,612$757 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.77	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Under	62c	1,587$977 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$610.38	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	51c	1,500$760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$760	1,301	50.2%653 W · 648 L	+19.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over	49c	1,500$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	616	52.8%325 W · 291 L	+31.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fcb…f91abacked Under	48c	1,369$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.78	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	50c	1,328$669 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$669.35	678	49.3%334 W · 344 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Over	51c	1,268$647 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$646.81	135	49.6%67 W · 68 L	-6.6wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Over	50c	1,248$624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$624	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over	50c	1,163$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.46	1,797	50.4%906 W · 891 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under	47c	1,146$539 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$607.56	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x800b…152abacked Under	62c	1,103$684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$419.25	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-3.8wins	-0.34per pick	53cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Under	48c	1,100$528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$572	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over	51c	1,045$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.12	185	53.5%99 W · 86 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over	54c	1,025$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.38	366	49.2%180 W · 186 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3dd…cdaebacked Over	55c	1,006$552 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.05	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	52c	1,000$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.24	1,538	48.6%747 W · 791 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	57	57.9%33 W · 24 L	+5.7wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under	47c	1,000$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530	672	50.1%337 W · 335 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Under	49c	992.16$485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$507.51	126	56.3%71 W · 55 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	45c	899.97$405 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$494.98	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	51c	793.54$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.13	1,630	55.2%899 W · 731 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Over	52c	734.96$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.34	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over	51c	690.64$349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.9	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under	47c	673.55$317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.98	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e4a…eee7backed Under	46c	652$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$352.08	308	44.2%136 W · 172 L	-10.4wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under	49c	651.15$319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.17	64	59.4%38 W · 26 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over	51c	600$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306	959	50.1%480 W · 479 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under	49c	596.48$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.72	183	53.6%98 W · 85 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under	49c	596.48$291 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.72	238	51.3%122 W · 116 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Under	48c	573.18$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.05	281	54.4%153 W · 128 L	+9.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over	51c	550.45$281 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.56	1,569	51.1%801 W · 768 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed Under	61c	548.4$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.33	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Over	52c	538.34$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.93	883	49.3%435 W · 448 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over	54c	500$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under	47c	494.4$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.03	411	41.4%170 W · 241 L	-21.0wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Under	46c	474.52$218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.24	233	51.1%119 W · 114 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Over	52c	464.28$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.85	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58dc…59e4backed Under	49c	435.24$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.97	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	48c	399.64$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.83	418	47.6%199 W · 219 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under	59c	397$233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.84	677	42.2%286 W · 391 L	-36.7wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2b3…626abacked Under	61c	389.46$238 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.59	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe226…95a5backed Under	51c	382.4$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$188.37	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked Over	53c	377.72$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.19	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	40c	368.75$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.08	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Under	47c	350.2$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.61	181	51.4%93 W · 88 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Over	55c	330.68$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.87	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Over	55c	325.96$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.28	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.4wins	-0.15per pick	52cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under	48c	324.06$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.51	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa79d…ee14backed Over	55c	319.5$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.72	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	-5.9wins	-0.16per pick	55cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over	48c	300$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	296	47.3%140 W · 156 L	+9.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Under	48c	300$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+6.2wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked Over	51c	295.68$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.75	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-3.6wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under	52c	292.23$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.12	6,305	48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L	+181.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over	53c	291.54$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.52	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Over	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33fc…dc88backed Over	53c	273.97$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.2	231	56.7%131 W · 100 L	+8.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore OriolesArizona Diamondbacks won
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore OriolesNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event