TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x995e…13ae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: UFC, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 55 out of 100; worst MLB at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2729.6%8 W · 19 L-6.2wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-45%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,049.8
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$7,472Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,471.92
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14,717Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$12,606.43
Cleveland Guardians vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$511.54
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,262.56
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,130.2
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$632.45
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,265.4
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,314.75
Chicago Cubs vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,211Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,211.16
Baltimore Orioles vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,177Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,176.6
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,067.66
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,564Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$951.58
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$211.37
Ducks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220
Devils vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,250
Hurricanes vs. Islandersbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,450
Canadiens vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$838.14
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Capitals vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,420Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+70.3%+$997.69
Panthers vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+85.5%+$1,026.05
Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,300
Flyers vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+64.6%+$323.21
Utah vs. Krakenbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,939Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$6,193.84
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+84.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,880Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$3,880
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+856.7%+$2,087.92
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$1,075.79
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,263Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,263.34
Spurs vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$952Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$951.79
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$262.47
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$524.48
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,322.59
All 8 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+56.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Germany (-3.5)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$1,260.83
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$756Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$577.62
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,550
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,365Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$2,048.22
All 5 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11,751Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,750.86
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,041Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,040.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-3.5)backed Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,180.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$7,124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,124.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.