Spread: Germany (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fbc68160eebf3b359b077b0e5ea8c7052031e84ec159c5002666302f67b508c

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Germanyof Germany, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $8,031,330
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $9,738,587

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,031,330 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,670 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2643…39aebacked Germany	54c	1,431,897$776,397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$655,500.55	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked Curaçao	46c	553,441$254,048 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254,048.45	141	39%55 W · 86 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Curaçao	46c	551,852$256,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256,079.59	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Curaçao	46c	466,359$214,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214,568.92	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Curaçao	45c	350,884$159,301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159,301.25	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Curaçao	47c	304,847$143,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143,278.12	165	46.1%76 W · 89 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2dd…4a23backed Curaçao	50c	301,370$149,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149,671.28	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a55…f9bebacked Germany	55c	300,366$164,885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135,481.3	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-13%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Curaçao	51c	250,999$128,530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128,529.59	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Curaçao	46c	200,000$92,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92,000	163	31.9%52 W · 111 L	-11.2wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb58…43c2backed Curaçao	50c	197,551$98,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98,775.46	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-7.3wins	-0.18per pick	58cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc6a6…9458backed Germany	54c	175,447$94,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,760.12	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+4.2wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Curaçao	46c	150,000$68,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68,700	66	27.3%18 W · 48 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Germany	51c	150,000$77,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,999.94	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Germany	50c	122,222$61,111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61,111	423	45.6%193 W · 230 L	+10.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	49c	114,835$55,740 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59,094.61	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Curaçao	49c	100,000$48,862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,862.33	250	38.8%97 W · 153 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8372…5223backed Curaçao	51c	94,999$48,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48,449.35	54	51.9%28 W · 26 L	+4.6wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Germany	53c	93,806$50,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43,650.87	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	36cpaid	+65.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9f67…a882backed Curaçao	46c	92,896$42,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,964.38	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.4wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Germany	48c	85,268$40,729 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,539.58	37	59.5%22 W · 15 L	+6.9wins	+0.19per pick	41cpaid	+32.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Curaçao	47c	84,698$40,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40,000	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed Germany	49c	84,241$41,278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42,962.68	20	85%17 W · 3 L	+7.9wins	+0.40per pick	45cpaid	+82.2%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Germany	54c	81,839$44,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37,618.5	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Curaçao	66c	71,580$47,418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47,418.07	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Germany	51c	64,282$32,751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31,530.72	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Germany	53c	59,921$31,758 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,162.64	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Germany	54c	55,556$30,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25,555.56	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Germany	51c	54,528$27,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,791.83	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Germany	55c	54,142$29,944 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,198.13	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Germany	54c	52,239$28,204 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,035.13	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eaf…a3a1backed Germany	54c	51,556$27,836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,720.16	39	30.8%12 W · 27 L	-4.7wins	-0.12per pick	43cpaid	-35%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Germany	54c	50,000$27,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,000	93	23.7%22 W · 71 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Curaçao	47c	45,100$21,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,276.03	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Curaçao	52c	40,547$20,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,925.76	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Curaçao	45c	40,000$18,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,000	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Curaçao	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,000	179	49.2%88 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9a6…627bbacked Germany	50c	40,000$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,000	116	45.7%53 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Germany	51c	39,990$20,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,395.14	97	47.4%46 W · 51 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Curaçao	46c	39,254$18,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,056.84	174	47.1%82 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Germany	51c	36,408$18,568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,839.88	148	43.2%64 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a1…db28backed Germany	50c	34,838$17,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,419.1	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…b6e9backed Curaçao	47c	34,599$16,243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,242.53	80	46.3%37 W · 43 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Germany	44c	31,654$13,830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,823.39	158	44.3%70 W · 88 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Curaçao	47c	30,912$14,553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,552.75	70	50%35 W · 35 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Germany	50c	28,489$14,169 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,319.32	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Curaçao	46c	28,481$13,202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,201.61	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda1…827fbacked Germany	54c	26,861$14,505 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,356.1	37	21.6%8 W · 29 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Curaçao	54c	26,642$14,392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,391.72	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Germany	50c	25,000$12,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12,500	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Curaçao	64c	24,860$15,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,798.25	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Germany	52c	22,671$11,789 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,882.16	116	47.4%55 W · 61 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x111a…12c3backed Germany	50c	22,611$11,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,305.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Curaçao	47c	21,288$9,980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,979.93	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Curaçao	47c	20,668$9,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,653.38	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+15.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf689…9d83backed Germany	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f3…5187backed Germany	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,000	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Curaçao	50c	20,000$10,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,099.96	228	46.9%107 W · 121 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Germany	50c	19,947$9,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,973.68	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Germany	52c	19,683$10,185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,497.23	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Curaçao	22c	19,000$4,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,179.98	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Germany	60c	16,700$10,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,680	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Germany	50c	16,122$8,061 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,060.83	143	43.4%62 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Curaçao	47c	16,000$7,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,550	193	45.1%87 W · 106 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Germany	50c	15,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,500	114	43%49 W · 65 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5b…b940backed Germany	53c	15,000$7,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,049.97	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x82ba…0a52backed Germany	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,349.94	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Germany	50c	14,651$7,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,324.61	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Curaçao	49c	14,393$7,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,052.67	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Germany	49c	14,040$6,880 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,160.4	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8227…013dbacked Curaçao	73c	13,745$10,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,012.04	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-5.9wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Curaçao	48c	12,500$6,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,000	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe275…f1eebacked Germany	56c	12,027$6,752 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,274.67	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Curaçao	48c	12,000$5,760 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,760	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Curaçao	46c	12,000$5,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,520	362	50.8%184 W · 178 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Germany	69c	11,926$8,218 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,708.11	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Germany	50c	10,704$5,354 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,350	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	-6.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf91…92bdbacked Germany	50c	10,655$5,284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,370.79	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.11per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Curaçao	49c	10,600$5,170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,169.88	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…cff4backed Curaçao	48c	10,417$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	108	49.1%53 W · 55 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Germany	54c	10,185$5,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,685.19	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Germany	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200.02	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Germany	54c	10,000$5,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,600	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Germany	52c	10,000$5,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,800	43	55.8%24 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Germany	51c	10,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,900	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Germany	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Germany	35c	10,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,499.99	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Germany	52c	9,893$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,793.5	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Germany	50c	9,855$4,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,906.71	239	49.4%118 W · 121 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Germany	51c	9,455$4,822 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,632.87	168	25.6%43 W · 125 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Germany	52c	9,258$4,848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,410.28	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-6.8wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Curaçao	50c	9,207$4,569 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,568.54	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Curaçao	48c	9,147$4,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,417	105	55.2%58 W · 47 L	+5.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3169…ac5abacked Germany	50c	9,000$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,500	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.15per pick	42cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Germany	53c	9,000$4,770 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,229.9	113	43.4%49 W · 64 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Curaçao	51c	8,524$4,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,347.05	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Germany	51c	8,516$4,382 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,134.78	34	70.6%24 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Germany	54c	8,333$4,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,833.33	169	57.4%97 W · 72 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Curaçao	51c	8,210$4,171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,170.76	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Germany	51c	8,100$4,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,969	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-3.5)this page
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event