TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,568
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,568 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Under26c44,793$11,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,828.564,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over74c38,996$28,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,096.294,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under21c12,164$2,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.682,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under25c11,151$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,763.472,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under21c9,711$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…530abacked Over80c9,238$7,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.683855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over80c8,877$7,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,775.412882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under21c5,465$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,156.753,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over79c5,267$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.192,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over79c4,430$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.3821442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under9c4,385$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae1…d8abbacked Over79c3,000$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63011674.1%86 W · 30 L+16.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+28.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over77c2,593$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.5130465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Under20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under24c1,489$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.992,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under20c1,400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804946.9%23 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507263.9%46 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Under20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007247.2%34 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over78c996.99$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.429463.8%60 W · 34 L+12.8wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked Under23c798.11$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.5718248.9%89 W · 93 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5a5…e3cabacked Over80c763.74$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.754663%29 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ec…5f73backed Under25c756.33$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under22c633.34$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3373234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa656…0a64backed Over79c629.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a9…2c34backed Over78c599.96$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.994753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under18c599.64$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.81,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under10c594.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.612,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over78c537.82$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.298,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under22c530.73$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.111,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over79c519.97$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.951,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010247.1%48 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019251.6%99 W · 93 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71df…9aa0backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005850%29 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012056.7%68 W · 52 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+25.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Under25c472.18$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.6424541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under19c420.38$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.592,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under24c400$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under13c379.29$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517122.5%16 W · 55 L-8.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under28c370.38$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.260752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Over80c361.65$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.910959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x73bb…f68ebacked Over79c279.49$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.692147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under27c272.09$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7151250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over79c260.75$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7618340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Over80c260.52$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.115261.2%93 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x945a…a881backed Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4111647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…a095backed Over78c227.01$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.944936.7%18 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53b4…cef0backed Over78c204$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Over79c200.47$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.5117568.6%120 W · 55 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick74cpaid-7.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x530f…424ebacked Under24c200.17$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.87750.6%39 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc507…5d1ebacked Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4410359.2%61 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under20c179$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under20c156.78$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Under20c148$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.168318.1%15 W · 68 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Over78c146.09$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1747546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under20c142.24$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.151,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x814f…aeecbacked Over77c135.83$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.83333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-56.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7e1…bb47backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.215554.5%30 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under25c125.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.782,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd69d…fd60backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick23cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Under23c119.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1761855.3%342 W · 276 L+23.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fb5…c269backed Under26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303023.3%7 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ab…18c6backed Over79c105.89$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2418952.4%99 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over76c105.26$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.261,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x822d…339bbacked Under22c101.68$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.371163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+36.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd661…2750backed Under22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2213038.5%50 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+29.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d00…8af3backed Over79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+135.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b72…3ce9backed Over80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203372.7%24 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2133350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over77c96.59$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2584751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x120e…8907backed Under22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010155.4%56 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over75c90.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.577845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under18c88.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1641444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2b…5db8backed Over79c88.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd9e6…d79fbacked Over80c80$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162360.9%14 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid+17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under18c76.28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.731,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ef…736dbacked Under22c71.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8410426%27 W · 77 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3e4…8aadbacked Over79c70.6$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.931258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Over77c63.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2515456.5%87 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa7…736ebacked Over80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.522746.3%105 W · 122 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ea…51ccbacked Over78c59.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under24c59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1637348.3%180 W · 193 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under23c57.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1342952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c8…b949backed Over78c56.46$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4227363.4%173 W · 100 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb90a…78e1backed Under22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114030%12 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x328c…6715backed Over78c49.62$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.925459.3%32 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2930…e9febacked Under23c49.26$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.334139%16 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed Over77c48.7$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.219069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Over80c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.84257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Under25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012936.4%47 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x195d…0a8bbacked Over78c38.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.574839.6%19 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf688…87b8backed Over79c38.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82962.1%18 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…b092backed Over78c32.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.058100%8 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x56da…e1a6backed Over79c31.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbed9…bbd3backed Over76c30.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.442479.2%19 W · 5 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+24.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4d30…8bc8backed Over77c30.3$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.893762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8720…ea73backed Over77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.91957.9%11 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over80c28.95$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.792,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…17adbacked Over77c26.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.063658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over78c26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7298439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.