TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,134
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$654,574

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,134 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c139,466$47,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,418.61,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over68c34,223$23,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,062.874,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over66c19,783$13,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,773.981,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under34c16,014$5,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,444.8420724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over66c12,500$8,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2509846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Over66c11,061$7,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,760.618835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked Under34c9,300$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1627941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under14c9,167$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30016116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd71…76f1backed Over65c8,895$5,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.192055%11 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over66c8,241$5,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,831.742,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over66c7,730$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,629.620547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fae…4079backed Under24c7,501$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8006833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under1c6,455$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.558728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Under7c6,299$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.1315937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd34a…78c7backed Under24c6,250$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50013721.2%29 W · 108 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under35c5,733$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.8177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Over66c5,590$3,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.3484751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over66c5,548$3,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,886.4548152.4%252 W · 229 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under35c5,500$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.381,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d29…0206backed Over79c5,000$3,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0402572%18 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+67.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under5c4,951$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Over66c4,577$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,576.9631644.9%142 W · 174 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4e9…1e89backed Over63c4,200$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,557.996434.4%22 W · 42 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-30.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa667…9a23backed Over68c4,091$2,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.681040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under36c3,633$1,292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,292.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe72e…c780backed Under6c3,532$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014539.3%57 W · 88 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over65c3,273$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.5714463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…0392backed Over65c3,036$1,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.592839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over66c3,034$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,031.573,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39a…1246backed Over66c3,003$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.172846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61de…ed31backed Over66c3,000$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02012132.2%39 W · 82 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under34c2,893$984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.7148441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Under35c2,856$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.6518837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51a8…0e31backed Over67c2,826$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.642638.5%10 W · 16 L-5.6wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x41c0…901dbacked Under35c2,780$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.122025%5 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under4c2,762$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.516325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under34c2,592$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.2571638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over65c2,399$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.762540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0add…7d9cbacked Under41c2,399$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.4150%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over65c2,311$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.0621442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2300…53f8backed Over65c2,308$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.698746%40 W · 47 L+9.5wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+28.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Over65c2,300$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80513762.8%86 W · 51 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Under27c2,222$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9412325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c2,217$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.682,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Under36c2,153$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$774.96732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x639d…4777backed Over68c1,987$1,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.463644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc468…3f67backed Under35c1,841$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.2911616.4%19 W · 97 L+0.2wins0.00per pick16cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under1c1,804$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.271,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcd62…4e9abacked Over66c1,641$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.912733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under32c1,604$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.412,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5607153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xec7c…9c92backed Over66c1,571$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.211442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+78.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under32c1,562$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.842,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bb6…c956backed Over64c1,541$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.721560%9 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over73c1,509$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.632,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over65c1,508$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.289351.6%48 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3407…c3ebbacked Under30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f85…4834backed Over66c1,370$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.814143.9%18 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c0b…01a4backed Over77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.74922.4%11 W · 38 L-6.7wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under34c1,235$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.491,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed Under31c1,219$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.7411440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Over64c1,157$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.458355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under35c1,143$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40033641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under4c1,129$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa6f…b001backed Under34c1,125$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.482147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under35c1,089$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.2234144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under34c1,064$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.6163255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Under13c1,032$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2269744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under35c1,007$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.331,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1034533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc66f…104cbacked Under36c1,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3606141%25 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…7a35backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Over64c1,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3602556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Over65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35022643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0561…51c7backed Under34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.994250%21 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under35c910.91$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c7…44b7backed Over66c909.09$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.097943%34 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6110…5d2ebacked Over65c869.09$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0918340.4%74 W · 109 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…81a7backed Under36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003318.2%6 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2e…716bbacked Over64c800$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2882646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over65c800$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28014440.3%58 W · 86 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under14c788.27$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2619946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0453…12fbbacked Over66c758.74$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.745761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5824162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Over66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.5813862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over67c755.77$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.3734964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under22c755.62$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Under1c750$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under17c739.31$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1330054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over79c630.55$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4439933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under35c625.88$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.941,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa416…63f4backed Over77c615.74$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.6212452.4%65 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4471…19ffbacked Over65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.387145.1%32 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over66c606.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.0626455.3%146 W · 118 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.