Spread: Germany (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a821392de1c400ac0f635304dce06128979c392d39a07c6040b8b0caae2ddbe

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Germanyof Germany, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $843,401
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $883,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,401 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 631 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Curaçao	25c	108,622$26,850 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26,850.11	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	72c	69,120$49,456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,664.16	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Curaçao	29c	45,123$13,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,217.04	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Curaçao	6c	39,003$2,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,340.16	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Curaçao	30c	34,926$10,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,564.28	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Curaçao	28c	30,836$8,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,486.86	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c1…0438backed Germany	73c	23,651$17,352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,299.2	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-26%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Germany	72c	16,853$12,134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,718.84	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Germany	70c	15,000$10,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,499.99	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x313d…4b1abacked Germany	72c	14,463$10,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,041.67	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Germany	71c	14,346$10,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,119.74	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Curaçao	22c	13,171$2,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,843.88	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Germany	70c	13,060$9,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,889.63	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…ab24backed Curaçao	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	92	53.3%49 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Curaçao	1c	8,907$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.07	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Germany	77c	8,000$6,160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,839.93	222	29.7%66 W · 156 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc152…3e66backed Curaçao	35c	7,922$2,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,787.73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Curaçao	29c	7,758$2,216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,216.04	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Germany	70c	7,306$5,104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,202.1	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Germany	76c	6,500$4,949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,550.24	399	33.1%132 W · 267 L	+6.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Curaçao	52c	5,804$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Germany	71c	5,468$3,873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,594.9	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Germany	51c	5,223$2,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,582.36	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Germany	71c	5,000$3,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,450	864	52.7%455 W · 409 L	+26.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca1…dd13backed Germany	53c	5,000$2,650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,350	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Curaçao	28c	5,000$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,399.99	296	46.3%137 W · 159 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Germany	71c	4,900$3,479 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,421	104	56.7%59 W · 45 L	+6.8wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Curaçao	22c	4,835$1,047 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,047.15	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ce…8ccfbacked Germany	72c	4,783$3,444 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.37	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Germany	71c	3,999$2,841 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,158.25	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Curaçao	50c	3,945$1,971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,971	76	40.8%31 W · 45 L	-8.3wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Curaçao	28c	3,892$1,101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100.65	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Curaçao	30c	3,597$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.07	716	38.4%275 W · 441 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Curaçao	17c	3,428$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.66	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x029c…7329backed Germany	74c	3,366$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.83	56	51.8%29 W · 27 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Germany	59c	3,166$1,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.38	219	46.1%101 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Germany	69c	3,163$2,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$965.77	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-7.0wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Germany	69c	3,087$2,130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.04	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Curaçao	12c	3,039$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.52	364	37.1%135 W · 229 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf9…5c67backed Curaçao	53c	2,981$1,580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,580	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Curaçao	39c	2,923$1,135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.27	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Germany	70c	2,857$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$857.14	72	63.9%46 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Germany	71c	2,613$1,861 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$752.29	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…5e7abacked Germany	74c	2,564$1,889 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.17	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	64cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab93…b17dbacked Germany	75c	2,500$1,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635	60	50%30 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Curaçao	28c	2,395$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.54	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Curaçao	28c	2,390$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.83	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3c…4474backed Germany	72c	2,290$1,649 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641.26	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Germany	71c	2,200$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$649	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Curaçao	47c	2,140$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,005.8	255	37.6%96 W · 159 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Germany	71c	2,113$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.68	34	47.1%16 W · 18 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Curaçao	21c	2,085$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.72	147	34%50 W · 97 L	+4.6wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	+18.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Curaçao	28c	2,068$579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$579.04	297	40.1%119 W · 178 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4058…49d2backed Germany	76c	2,035$1,549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$486.23	40	60%24 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Germany	80c	2,018$1,612 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$405.93	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Germany	69c	2,000$1,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$620	45	40%18 W · 27 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Germany	53c	2,000$1,060 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$940	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.8wins	+0.26per pick	42cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Germany	68c	2,000$1,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.99	221	39.8%88 W · 133 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Curaçao	40c	2,000$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.98	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72de…53ffbacked Germany	54c	1,984$1,071 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$913.07	62	43.5%27 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Curaçao	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Curaçao	26c	1,923$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.98	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Germany	70c	1,920$1,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$576.1	134	54.5%73 W · 61 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Curaçao	15c	1,878$283 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.19	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Germany	56c	1,711$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.44	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Curaçao	28c	1,645$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.53	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Curaçao	28c	1,600$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.31	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Curaçao	46c	1,588$723 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$723.33	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Curaçao	26c	1,573$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.79	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Curaçao	29c	1,492$432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.14	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Germany	54c	1,490$803 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.3	198	50.5%100 W · 98 L	+10.7wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Curaçao	29c	1,485$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.89	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Germany	68c	1,471$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.59	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Curaçao	9c	1,467$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.01	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x70c9…caf5backed Germany	71c	1,408$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408.45	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+8.2wins	+0.16per pick	52cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed Germany	72c	1,400$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$392	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-59.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x60cd…93f5backed Germany	72c	1,389$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.89	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	61cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Germany	68c	1,358$928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$429.47	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bdb5backed Germany	74c	1,332$986 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.26	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.27per pick	67cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Germany	70c	1,324$933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.94	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Germany	74c	1,267$931 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.72	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed Germany	68c	1,250$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	145	34.5%50 W · 95 L	-11.4wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x76f4…200ebacked Germany	70c	1,234$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.13	120	43.3%52 W · 68 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Germany	56c	1,229$688 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$540.32	257	53.3%137 W · 120 L	+23.5wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc782…6a48backed Germany	71c	1,200$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$348	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Germany	72c	1,199$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$334.83	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Germany	73c	1,166$855 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.51	109	59.6%65 W · 44 L	+9.7wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Germany	79c	1,136$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$243.68	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Germany	71c	1,100$781 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Curaçao	29c	1,082$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$313.65	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Germany	70c	1,071$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.43	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	+2.0wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9b4…3111backed Curaçao	28c	1,050$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.08	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-2.5wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-64%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Curaçao	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	336	41.7%140 W · 196 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Curaçao	49c	1,034$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Curaçao	32c	1,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Germany	72c	1,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66f…104cbacked Curaçao	30c	1,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	61	41%25 W · 36 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Germany	67c	999.99$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	131	55%72 W · 59 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Curaçao	52c	999.99$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.99	76	48.7%37 W · 39 L	-4.8wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Germany	53c	999.99$530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$469.99	202	34.2%69 W · 133 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)this page
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event