Spread: Germany (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49fc58c14fa26bfd4f3f3bd286d2fdf30e994af4393124200e91a21117c59d52

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Germanyof Germany, Curaçao
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $952,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $960,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $952,080 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 492 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Germany	36c	173,053$62,737 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110,315.99	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Curaçao	61c	81,309$49,781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49,780.84	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Curaçao	66c	55,546$36,436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36,436.49	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Germany	34c	53,160$18,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34,952.34	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Germany	30c	32,500$9,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,624.96	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+3.2wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Curaçao	62c	28,988$17,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,972.51	379	59.1%224 W · 155 L	+20.5wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+12%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Curaçao	65c	28,649$18,622 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,621.76	152	49.3%75 W · 77 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Germany	32c	20,000$6,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,600	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Curaçao	10c	14,361$1,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,494.14	143	49.7%71 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Curaçao	59c	13,182$7,796 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,796.34	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Germany	34c	11,765$4,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,764.71	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Germany	34c	10,294$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,794.12	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Curaçao	63c	10,036$6,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,356.18	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbda…b8fabacked Curaçao	61c	10,000$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,100	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Curaçao	43c	9,290$3,995 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,994.56	177	48%85 W · 92 L	+7.8wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1506…3ae5backed Germany	33c	9,075$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,074.79	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8e4…2daebacked Curaçao	63c	9,014$5,676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,675.87	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Germany	34c	9,003$3,078 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,925.37	68	35.3%24 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Germany	33c	8,888$2,933 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,954.82	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Germany	57c	8,772$5,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,772.11	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	50cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Germany	34c	8,579$2,917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,662.06	86	48.8%42 W · 44 L	+10.1wins	+0.12per pick	37cpaid	+77.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Curaçao	63c	7,318$4,596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,596.35	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Germany	34c	7,000$2,380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,620	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Curaçao	35c	6,958$2,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,401.42	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Curaçao	72c	6,389$4,627 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,627.29	50	40%20 W · 30 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Germany	51c	5,769$2,920 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,849.25	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Germany	51c	5,769$2,959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,810.36	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Germany	33c	5,730$1,875 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,854.98	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Germany	33c	5,169$1,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,482.94	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Germany	42c	5,000$2,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,900.1	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Germany	32c	4,735$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,235.13	214	42.5%91 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Germany	36c	4,667$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,987.48	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Curaçao	45c	4,603$2,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,072.27	105	50.5%53 W · 52 L	-8.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Curaçao	67c	4,500$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,999.96	432	48.4%209 W · 223 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Germany	55c	4,100$2,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,848.4	226	39.4%89 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Curaçao	58c	4,029$2,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,338.31	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Curaçao	69c	3,834$2,643 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,643.09	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc658…64acbacked Germany	34c	3,529$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,329.41	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.8wins	-0.08per pick	35cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Germany	29c	3,500$1,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,484.94	91	26.4%24 W · 67 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Curaçao	63c	3,361$2,117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,117.25	597	52.1%311 W · 286 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Germany	30c	3,070$921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,148.72	207	24.6%51 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Curaçao	64c	3,019$1,944 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,943.76	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Curaçao	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Curaçao	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Curaçao	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Curaçao	67c	3,000$2,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,010	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e6…82debacked Germany	34c	2,940$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,940.39	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.4wins	-0.22per pick	52cpaid	-47.9%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Curaçao	26c	2,917$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.93	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Germany	71c	2,816$2,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$802.55	88	71.6%63 W · 25 L	+8.1wins	+0.09per pick	62cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Germany	52c	2,710$1,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,299.46	586	42.8%251 W · 335 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Curaçao	43c	2,625$1,129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,128.73	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	+7.7wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+12%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Curaçao	66c	2,490$1,645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,645.4	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Germany	33c	2,427$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,619.66	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbc…a861backed Germany	35c	2,425$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,575.46	26	23.1%6 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Germany	32c	2,399$774 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.15	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Curaçao	56c	2,332$1,296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,296.41	644	46.4%299 W · 345 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Curaçao	4c	2,274$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.4	421	26.4%111 W · 310 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Curaçao	68c	2,259$1,537 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,537.28	374	51.6%193 W · 181 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Curaçao	67c	2,225$1,490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,490	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5145…dd71backed Curaçao	68c	2,200$1,496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,496	140	51.4%72 W · 68 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Germany	31c	2,200$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,509.98	200	31%62 W · 138 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Germany	36c	2,130$763 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,366.55	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	+3.9wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Germany	49c	2,114$1,043 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,070.07	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Germany	35c	2,090$741 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,349.58	390	39%152 W · 238 L	-12.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Germany	33c	2,000$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,340	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Germany	54c	2,000$1,080 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$920	22	68.2%15 W · 7 L	+5.8wins	+0.26per pick	42cpaid	+81.3%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Germany	31c	2,000$620 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,379.98	385	26.8%103 W · 282 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Curaçao	68c	1,994$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.25	102	51%52 W · 50 L	-5.7wins	-0.06per pick	57cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Curaçao	67c	1,863$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,249.79	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e55…bad0backed Curaçao	41c	1,824$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$747.76	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	+4.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Germany	31c	1,700$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,173	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Curaçao	67c	1,600$1,072 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,072	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Curaçao	67c	1,581$1,053 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,053.12	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf07c…78f6backed Curaçao	70c	1,580$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.9	129	54.3%70 W · 59 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Germany	33c	1,515$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,015.15	88	35.2%31 W · 57 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Germany	30c	1,513$454 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.28	230	36.1%83 W · 147 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Curaçao	67c	1,500$1,010 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.95	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+11.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5682…97afbacked Curaçao	70c	1,500$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,049.67	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	45cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa3bb…3661backed Curaçao	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6863…300bbacked Curaçao	67c	1,484$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Curaçao	68c	1,482$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,009.38	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38b0…dd47backed Germany	32c	1,300$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$884	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Curaçao	62c	1,226$766 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765.88	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Curaçao	68c	1,184$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.92	847	51%432 W · 415 L	+10.5wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Curaçao	68c	1,184$803 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.92	481	52.4%252 W · 229 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Germany	34c	1,176$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$776.47	266	44%117 W · 149 L	+9.8wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Germany	34c	1,167$397 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$770.11	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Germany	52c	1,100$572 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.06	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Germany	34c	1,096$373 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$723.32	144	28.5%41 W · 103 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Curaçao	65c	1,093$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$712.77	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Curaçao	64c	1,043$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$664.62	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Curaçao	63c	1,033$651 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.27	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Germany	33c	1,032$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$695.94	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Curaçao	38c	1,007$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.85	82	43.9%36 W · 46 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0674…f212backed Germany	31c	1,000$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Germany	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	47	72.3%34 W · 13 L	+12.7wins	+0.27per pick	45cpaid	+107.9%equal weight	70+0.18 edge/pick
0xf030…12e2backed Curaçao	62c	1,000$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	-6.2wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Germany	35c	1,000$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	202	34.2%69 W · 133 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a6d…cbacbacked Germany	25c	1,000$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$750	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27cc…884bbacked Germany	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430.1	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-4.5)this page
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 1.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 2.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 1.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 7.5Over won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5Under won
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Curaçao (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Germany won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event