TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$768,849
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$803,325

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $768,849 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 560 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1530…6aaabacked Under1c51,877$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43216163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under3c41,922$1,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,162.048728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under39c39,758$15,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,333.844,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under12c30,056$3,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,670.4336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under16c23,848$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.228229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under4c23,107$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.5936437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Over38c18,925$7,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,733.387642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882f…a8c0backed Over80c18,315$14,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,728.695366%35 W · 18 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under3c14,721$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.8744130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c12,939$7,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,783.092,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over59c9,668$5,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,957.6177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under12c9,202$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.3333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under20c8,484$1,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.161,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Under57c7,216$4,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,125.554235.7%15 W · 27 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Over30c6,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,704.0512329.3%36 W · 87 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Over28c5,500$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,959.9824144.8%108 W · 133 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Under72c5,016$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,611.411561.7%71 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Under65c5,000$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25019332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under1c5,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Under2c4,832$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9734533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under32c4,727$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.5916116.1%26 W · 135 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+52.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under5c4,456$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over43c4,327$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,479.053,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under12c4,218$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8910942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under8c4,176$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0238819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Under72c3,891$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over28c3,394$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.511,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dda…c9e0backed Under1c3,200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under2c3,170$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over29c3,000$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.9611638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under3c2,993$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2834731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Under68c2,932$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under19c2,763$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.619233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c2,652$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0425125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Under13c2,607$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.0730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over28c2,590$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.71,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…35d6backed Over72c2,580$1,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.210652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under53c2,563$1,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,369.7414433.3%48 W · 96 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Under29c2,414$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9d…01d7backed Over28c2,389$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,719.851020%2 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over41c2,351$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.2713738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc49e…3b3dbacked Under53c2,285$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under72c2,236$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,607.691,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over28c2,205$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.2543826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under57c2,159$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.831152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under71c2,123$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,514.591,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over59c2,049$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.9337242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd62…4e9abacked Over72c2,022$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.212733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over28c2,000$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.9928526.3%75 W · 210 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9821166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under12c1,995$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.9926647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over79c1,965$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.4334964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xd7ed…614cbacked Over78c1,959$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Over72c1,953$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.789753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under62c1,948$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over77c1,942$1,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.835446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under29c1,850$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.71,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over56c1,843$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.1339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x880e…bd26backed Under19c1,842$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Over28c1,800$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,295.914348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under69c1,700$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.976358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over63c1,697$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under2c1,667$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3322029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over77c1,559$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.8659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf711…6601backed Under74c1,492$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.161553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6d…e72cbacked Under13c1,481$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003330.3%10 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over29c1,469$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.681,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c08…c202backed Over35c1,427$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.951250%6 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+32.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over44c1,421$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.6120560%123 W · 82 L+17.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b6…c6aabacked Over71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-45%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over71c1,316$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.361,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over62c1,290$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.5287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over28c1,286$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.511,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Under79c1,269$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over28c1,263$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.0720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over28c1,250$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9005330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under43c1,161$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.8219946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under3c1,147$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4998134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5319…f862backed Under1c1,117$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.172321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-46.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under55c1,101$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.6587837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Over40c1,100$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6577050%35 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Under3c1,083$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.997236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x140e…cf85backed Under65c1,059$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.7116153.4%86 W · 75 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked Under24c1,042$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under72c1,028$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73622355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under1c1,005$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.059323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa69b…7b0cbacked Over76c1,000$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b3…bf2ebacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012429%36 W · 88 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Over29c1,000$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7107153.5%38 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+60.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under20c986.89$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0319738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under69c939.56$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under71c928.64$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.953,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8299…4403backed Under73c900$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6571464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over51c876.13$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.7731545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under20c851.4$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.952,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Under71c850$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.519531.3%61 W · 134 L-0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabcf…5b58backed Under30c839.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2509535.8%34 W · 61 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.