TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$142,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,586

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 176 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over29c15,288$4,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,909.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Under71c11,514$8,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,175.05650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+74.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Over32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,799.9422846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over31c7,357$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,041.782,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over31c7,304$2,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,039.4874447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c4,848$3,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,340.434,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd604…cb5fbacked Under70c4,087$2,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,845.933555.5%186 W · 149 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31ad…6a74backed Under69c3,776$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,605.75922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b99…4b3abacked Over30c3,106$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,174.174327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9499…d5bbbacked Under1c2,883$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-74.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Over32c2,755$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.399551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x880e…bd26backed Under68c2,047$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3912157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Over31c2,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3803161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+31.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7940…47e7backed Over29c1,851$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,314.099947.5%47 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under68c1,650$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.112,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under68c1,551$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Over32c1,500$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.5616633.7%56 W · 110 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed Under69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Under68c1,400$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9522540%10 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Under73c1,250$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.832835.7%10 W · 18 L-6.7wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-44.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xa3d7…4084backed Over34c1,232$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over30c1,118$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.481,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under68c1,100$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.998931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over30c1,066$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.42,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed Under72c1,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.796238.7%24 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under67c959.73$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.413,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Under70c899.96$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.4747648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under72c858.46$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.771,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under66c764.39$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.172,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under68c752$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.362,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under68c746.36$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.862,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cbb…8a37backed Under74c731.54$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.347632.9%25 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa8d…22d7backed Under69c724.78$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006141%25 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over31c713.9$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.881,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under70c710$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49716165.8%106 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Under69c600$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41422441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Under68c588.24$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under70c528.18$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Under69c521.51$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.845440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over29c517.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.2437223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under66c502$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.3277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over29c499.99$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9934125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under65c462$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.32,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa8f…14d1backed Over36c441.94$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.842133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa656…0a64backed Under69c434.78$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over30c376.16$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.3173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2eac…6c20backed Over31c348.39$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.39966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+48%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over60c335$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1541968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Over29c300$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21318433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Over26c293.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4146546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Under69c290$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.11050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffbc…a7e7backed Over39c283.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.092245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8abf…2cd1backed Under71c281.7$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003250%16 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under72c277.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011252.7%59 W · 53 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over29c272.41$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.419237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under48c269.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.842,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad31…1c1dbacked Over29c267.24$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.745339.6%21 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe02…1204backed Over30c249.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.62536%9 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x983d…6288backed Over30c245.24$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.673158.1%18 W · 13 L+4.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under69c218.26$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Under70c214.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15015448.1%74 W · 80 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x155d…3ec8backed Over29c213.79$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7925532.9%84 W · 171 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under65c202$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.32,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under65c199.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9567…e505backed Under69c199.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.984748.9%23 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over33c171.35$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.488,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7a…3de0backed Over30c170$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11916655.4%92 W · 74 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2936023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb36e…538fbacked Over31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2910845.4%49 W · 59 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f2…e64ebacked Under71c154.73$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010354.4%56 W · 47 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd4e1…0e7bbacked Under67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002313%3 W · 20 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-62.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb599…c214backed Under68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf935…104ebacked Under68c146.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.323545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0520841.3%86 W · 122 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Under69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over35c144.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.8644144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Under70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027767.9%188 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1641…3781backed Over29c137$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.273215.6%5 W · 27 L-6.7wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-63.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x501d…1156backed Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb804…bbafbacked Under68c129.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8810350.5%52 W · 51 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under38c122.75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.762,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under66c117.46$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3332855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c116.24$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.461,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4b4…2994backed Under69c115.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca1a…261ebacked Over29c104.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.983762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Over31c101.87$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.295042%21 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee6…cbfebacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708334.9%29 W · 54 L-8.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x71d2…4be6backed Under71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7110259.8%61 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e50…0d32backed Over32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6810934.9%38 W · 71 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93da…e0bcbacked Under59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0d…8c4dbacked Under72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9931156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78ae…2797backed Under68c99.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over29c99.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9846525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf759…faa7backed Under70c98.7$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.164719.1%9 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under68c95.8$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.141,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c95.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.053,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c92.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.83,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 40 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.