TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6cbb…8a37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
141
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT7632.9%25 W · 51 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$645.75
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$256.02
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.19
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.11
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.91
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.47
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$194.12
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.54
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.96
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$298.07
Will Ghana win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.09
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$257.07
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$594Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$295.94
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$166.63
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$219.26
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.98
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$166.07
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$111.32
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.34
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.44
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,740.34
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$468Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+190.2%+$890.41
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$402.83
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.47
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.62
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.09
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.67
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.78
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$237.29
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$64.41
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+166.8%+$341.92
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$850.68
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.21
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$194.58
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,783Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$1,699.55
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.82
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.14
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$559.33
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$110.72
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$123.35
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.85
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$154.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-64.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$213.32
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.04
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Skybacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$102.96
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-3.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$525.87
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$92.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.65
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)backed Rayo Vallecano de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+304.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$2,603.95
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$369.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.58
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Groningen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will FC Groningen win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$226.12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.87
Spread: Saint-Etienne (-1.5)backed Saint-Etienne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$935.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. CB Murciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.