Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x740f4aa29b2abe6bf1a8e311389eab8c498d2cf4ef3dedfc15c406a55508af45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manchester United FCof Liverpool FC, Manchester United FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Liverpool FC | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,699.95 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liverpool FC | 16c | 586.35$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.82 | 592 | 47.6%282 W · 310 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b08…aaf4backed Liverpool FC | 16c | 458.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Liverpool FC | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Liverpool FC | 15c | 299.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…8a37backed Liverpool FC | 16c | 183.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Liverpool FC | 14c | 139.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Liverpool FC | 16c | 109$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Liverpool FC | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Liverpool FC | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)this page
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
- Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.