Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe095fdc6a1555f31636a2ae61f6503728a135100dcc767b9872f5e156cba654

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $117,913
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $138,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,913 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	51c	9,243$4,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,556.11	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under	65c	7,539$4,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,930.03	60	66.7%40 W · 20 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under	48c	5,024$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	59	54.2%32 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over	47c	5,000$2,350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,649.99	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over	56c	4,956$2,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,188.06	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under	54c	4,418$2,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,369.46	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9da0…523cbacked Over	69c	3,852$2,667 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,185.77	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	43c	3,763$1,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,618.1	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02e7…59e5backed Under	48c	3,022$1,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,449.26	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-57.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb585…53edbacked Under	68c	2,569$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740	10	70%7 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	72cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under	75c	1,639$1,233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,233.42	109	60.6%66 W · 43 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under	37c	1,568$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580	38	71.1%27 W · 11 L	+4.0wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa334…beaebacked Over	73c	1,231$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$331.03	22	22.7%5 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over	23c	1,200$276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924	55	27.3%15 W · 40 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	53c	1,132$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$532.08	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	22c	1,130$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$879.77	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under	51c	1,108$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.13	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Under	46c	1,069$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over	55c	999.99$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.05	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over	54c	999.98$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$459.99	192	35.9%69 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	21c	932.15$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.83	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over	69c	724.71$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.71	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c2b…683fbacked Under	58c	690$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under	2c	678.34$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	56	5.4%3 W · 53 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+150.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over	43c	669.77$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$381.77	82	36.6%30 W · 52 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Over	23c	645.17$146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$499.24	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	46c	644.49$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.41	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	78c	641.15$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$141.15	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	65c	636.16$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.08	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over	42c	549.97$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$318.98	41	53.7%22 W · 19 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	42cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x473c…4f61backed Over	73c	548.08$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$148.08	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	59cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc37…bac6backed Over	64c	539.98$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.39	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6779…eed9backed Under	79c	506.33$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under	71c	492.96$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c6d…8371backed Under	55c	454.83$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.6	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over	37c	450$167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$283.5	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7c2…190dbacked Under	47c	448$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.91	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over	21c	400$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	24c	394.41$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.33	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over	64c	390.63$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.63	89	49.4%44 W · 45 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over	55c	363.73$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.73	64	51.6%33 W · 31 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Under	37c	349.97$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.8	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bef…485bbacked Over	31c	341.74$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.9	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over	25c	335.36$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.05	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-8.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-31.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	77c	308$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.84	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under	40c	306.55$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.62	432	41.9%181 W · 251 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Over	66c	303.03$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.03	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Over	23c	302$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.54	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under	69c	289.86$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	108	50.9%55 W · 53 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Over	71c	280.59$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.59	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Under	41c	270.47$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.75	55	43.6%24 W · 31 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Over	58c	259.99$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.2	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…3f31backed Under	78c	256.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	49	59.2%29 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under	79c	249.21$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.88	76	60.5%46 W · 30 L	-5.5wins	-0.07per pick	68cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under	55c	246$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	33c	243.22$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.84	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over	42c	238.79$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.79	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over	61c	230$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.7	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	46c	213.29$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.69	741	56.8%421 W · 320 L	+46.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70b2…92d6backed Over	23c	213.04$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$164.04	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	24c	208.33$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.33	228	32.9%75 W · 153 L	-6.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…cf5fbacked Under	69c	200$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	72cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under	52c	199.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	137	60.6%83 W · 54 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a76…b30fbacked Over	73c	186.35$136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.35	64	37.5%24 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x44ac…dc9ebacked Over	55c	182.09$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.09	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.4wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	56c	178.66$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under	39c	172.8$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.97	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfef0…7708backed Under	58c	172.41$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-2.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	59c	169.49$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.49	171	61.4%105 W · 66 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under	11c	159.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.4	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4d…1a1fbacked Under	66c	158.94$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.05	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x57dc…01ffbacked Over	76c	157.11$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.86	27	59.3%16 W · 11 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…d57ebacked Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.25	50	56%28 W · 22 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	61cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd384…0b47backed Over	60c	154.85$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.99	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.40per pick	60cpaid	+66.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x124e…a8a9backed Under	31c	150$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	32	59.4%19 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ef7…0e08backed Under	75c	137.05$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.73	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Over	22c	135.71$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.41	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbbc…3122backed Under	79c	126.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e55…d369backed Under	41c	121.95$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Over	51c	115.14$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.91	34	41.2%14 W · 20 L	+3.0wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+115%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed Under	37c	114.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.49	28	78.6%22 W · 6 L	+4.3wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under	68c	114.08$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.72	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	23c	110.61$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.61	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Over	49c	110$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.1	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over	47c	106.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.91	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0115…ac79backed Under	60c	105.85$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under	57c	105.26$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under	77c	104.36$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.32	335	51.3%172 W · 163 L	+11.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Under	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa00…3cf9backed Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.17	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71fd…1397backed Over	63c	103.17$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.17	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	62cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under	78c	102.56$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	72	52.8%38 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Under	69c	101.45$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	60cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x859d…b336backed Under	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b5d…6096backed Under	68c	100$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	74cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over	20c	100$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7902…ef0dbacked Over	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Under	78c	100$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	61	57.4%35 W · 26 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e10…1186backed Under	76c	99.99$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.99	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5this page
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Manchester United FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)Liverpool FC won
Spread: Manchester United FC (-2.5)Liverpool FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event