TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1276…0845

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.51
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$32.11
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$129.94
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.53
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Thunder vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.54
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.64
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$99.48
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Nationals vs. New York Metsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.01
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.73
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick43cpaid+133.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wild vs. Stars: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$28.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$19.17
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.38
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+130.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CD Mirandés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+130.1%+$25.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$16.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Joao Fonseca vs Rafael Jodarbacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-04-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-04-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.