La Liga · resolved market
CD Mirandés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0071c888f5de31d6f7c62c467334c72203527d37478a99974f20ef292acb6d2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,878$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.34 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 45c | 1,065$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.96 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 10c | 399.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 70c | 337.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.74 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 52c | 321.69$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.41 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Over | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.7wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 290.37$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 217.85$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 144.51$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 67c | 127.43$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.38 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 110.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 13c | 104.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 85 | 10.6%9 W · 76 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 100.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.12 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Over | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Over | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 50c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 49c | 58.83$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 51.76$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…0845backed Over | 43c | 44.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 42c | 39.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 51c | 38.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +13.8wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 38.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 34c | 30.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Under | 52c | 27.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 49c | 22.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Under | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 73c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Mirandés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Mirandés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Mirandés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Mirandés vs. Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.