TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-04-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$221,953
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$261,247

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,953 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c15,451$9,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.322,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No33c12,718$4,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,190.253852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No31c8,300$2,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,574.621,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed No1c8,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed No50c4,969$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,484.293259.4%19 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes20c4,903$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,922.2413517%23 W · 112 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes67c4,616$3,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,510.4549850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No4c4,110$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.8616819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No23c3,388$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$790.1512044.2%53 W · 67 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-35.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6af4…8999backed Yes74c3,278$2,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f73…667dbacked No1c2,821$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.211145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Yes19c2,700$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.98941.6%37 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed No2c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4550%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No2c2,550$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452711.1%3 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick5cpaid+206%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed No31c2,540$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.491353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No14c2,401$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.147160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes20c2,377$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.751428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed No70c2,261$1,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,571.568052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes68c1,997$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.6432650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x120d…9ad5backed Yes72c1,912$1,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes19c1,814$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.6668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No50c1,741$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.32650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed No11c1,721$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.434148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No38c1,614$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.9422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed No47c1,560$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes64c1,526$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.061625%4 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+73.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274f…fbf4backed No80c1,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2003060%18 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No80c1,400$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12041954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes31c1,381$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9482842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcea6…5ce3backed Yes56c1,353$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe33d…9512backed No8c1,240$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.21225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked No25c1,214$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.52119.1%1 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick33cpaid-74.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes22c1,194$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.521631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked No27c1,100$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2977749.4%38 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes58c1,067$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.9230828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked No3c1,050$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes50c1,044$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.7149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10306.7%2 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No19c994.7$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.985935.6%21 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…60d5backed Yes69c991.21$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes69c989.93$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.88580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+136.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes71c982.6$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Yes71c978.46$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes18c959.05$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.9912920.2%26 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No80c808.19$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.0198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes48c751.82$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.3822373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No28c681.95$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8411053.6%59 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-19.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0547…563ebacked No46c677.32$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked No53c669.97$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.3815042%63 W · 87 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No80c667.96$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes52c623.33$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.314959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed No80c613.52$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.821040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6ae…0df4backed Yes52c588.89$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf693…995ebacked No63c586.62$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.62922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-46.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed No31c556.91$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.53850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+27.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed No36c549.72$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.93438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes56c539.06$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.5941144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes76c537.36$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.1413658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Yes19c530$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick33cpaid+90.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f12…1937backed Yes18c528.22$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.142920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1894…9b71backed Yes53c516.11$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.05825%2 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-60.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Yes21c499.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.998861.4%54 W · 34 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c499.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015450%77 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc95…0b9cbacked Yes39c494.05$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.37450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes49c488.84$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0822237.4%83 W · 139 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No80c460$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36836456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed No3c450$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x575d…a11abacked Yes67c445.7$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.01850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c439.72$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8420749.3%102 W · 105 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e1…62a2backed Yes49c426.84$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.681464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+44.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Yes53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No51c381.58$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.3723345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.32236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No43c372.97$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1418125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No10c363.34$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8446742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes37c361.92$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.2551139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d87…abeabacked Yes65c345.46$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490e…42f1backed No5c336$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6190…5d90backed Yes66c335.2$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.17988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick57cpaid+64.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes20c333.2$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.561250%6 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+30.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe987…165cbacked Yes19c321.82$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.211020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid+15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed No37c298.28$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.365721.1%12 W · 45 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick23cpaid+64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa3…8584backed Yes74c289.94$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa61b…e7babacked Yes67c288.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.11366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…74fdbacked No63c280.6$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.781275%9 W · 3 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+120.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd8b6…f8c7backed Yes20c277.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.39757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+45.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Yes54c273.12$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.6414159.6%84 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…8df0backed Yes70c268.83$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked No57c256.37$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.13366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Yes77c256.16$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick70cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d8…b421backed Yes39c251.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.7450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe867…0905backed No36c249.61$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.552853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Yes38c245.77$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes49c219.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11217744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fba…fb15backed Yes62c219.03$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.83366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bc6…1cedbacked Yes17c217.43$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe398…4ce5backed Yes68c216.93$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.831392.3%12 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick72cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf855…0952backed No32c215.1$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes53c214.51$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1511547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.