TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa61b…e7ba

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
214
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT8763.2%55 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,866Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,865.98
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$411.35
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$514.29
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$347.9
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.84
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.86
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$207.09
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$13.47
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$237.03
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$99.49
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.87
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.79
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,593Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$949.89
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$873Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$919.41
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$936.12
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$1,187.41
76ers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$184.11
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$448.25
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$268.58
Rockets vs. Warriorsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,006Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$343.87
Magic vs. Pelicansbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$869Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$301.28
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$350.37
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$544Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$543.57
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$224.78
Cavaliers vs. Warriorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$811Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$202.85
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT4967.3%33 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreevabacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.95
Huzhou: Jiajing Lu vs Varvara Panshinabacked Varvara Panshina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$301.21
Madrid Open: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$234.9
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.56
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Anna Bondarbacked Mirra Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22.27
Madrid Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$176.38
Tallahassee: Saba Purtseladze vs Tyler Zinkbacked Tyler Zink · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$108.99
San Luis Potosi: Nicolas Mejia vs Tristan Schoolkatebacked Nicolas Mejia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$28.8
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Tomas Etcheverry vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$100.9
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.7
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Elisabetta Cocciarettobacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.2
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Tommy Paulbacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$27.53
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Clement Taburbacked Clement Tabur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
US Men's Clay Court Championships, Qualification: Darwin Blanch vs Genaro Alberto Olivieribacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+52%+$33.78
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$49.59
Split: Lukas Neumayer vs Kimmer Coppejansbacked Lukas Neumayer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Sao Paulo: Juan Carlos Prado vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Juan Carlos Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$79.75
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Leyre Romero Gormazbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$746Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$198.47
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguezbacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$73.33
Yokkaichi: James McCabe vs Hayato Matsuokabacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Yokkaichi: Paul Jubb vs Harry Wendelkenbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$949Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$949
Miami Open: Martin Landaluce vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$531Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$154.76
Morelia: Quinn Vandecasteele vs Borna Gojobacked Borna Gojo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75.67
Miami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegulabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$549Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$183
Naples: Sumit Nagal vs Federico Bondiolibacked Federico Bondioli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$145
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.58
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$167.33
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$296.23
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$318.32
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+60.1%+$1,906.21
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,569Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,457.93
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,183Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38%+$449.01
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$492.27
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,029Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+48.3%+$496.6
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$92.57
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$706Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$706
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$377.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick69cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$174.8
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$136
Will Watford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$74.43
Will Southampton FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$33.75
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+32.2%+$51.58
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,726Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$575.28
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT7100%7 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-39.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+89.4%+$255.6
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+72.4%+$43.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,700
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+59.3%+$890.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Will Al Hazem SC vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$400
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$205
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+52.9%+$25.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA River Plate vs. CA Banfield: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+40.7%+$301.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+38.1%+$13.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$773Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+34%+$263.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.