TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,658,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,662,028

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,658,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors39c550,262$212,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337,422.114,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors39c309,990$120,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189,093.787144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers61c228,906$139,664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139,664.3685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers60c208,772$125,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125,263.451,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers62c197,150$122,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,231.164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors38c150,000$57,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92,999.8516841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Cavaliers61c110,564$67,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,4449945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers69c98,033$67,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,214.671,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Cavaliers62c89,422$55,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,441.619745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors53c81,713$42,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,725.3466248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers62c81,252$50,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,376.3810949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db5…e279backed Raptors42c80,806$33,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,066.175354.7%29 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b4a…8060backed Raptors39c70,000$27,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,699.923839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Raptors80c61,750$49,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,35013642.6%58 W · 78 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors43c59,962$25,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,371.951,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Raptors40c55,280$22,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,217.4669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers59c54,548$32,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,069.2334456.7%195 W · 149 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Raptors42c50,570$21,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,097.516848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Raptors40c50,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,999.9920454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Cavaliers65c49,811$32,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,509.2315274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x040e…582fbacked Cavaliers62c48,860$30,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,293.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers61c46,628$28,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,647.384,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors38c44,811$17,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,782.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers50c36,177$17,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,998.063,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…b8f7backed Cavaliers62c34,767$21,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,555.371553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers61c34,458$20,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,974.9321549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88d8…99f0backed Raptors46c33,401$15,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,040.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers2c33,342$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.9583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers27c32,509$8,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,870.991,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked Raptors28c31,855$8,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,874.318225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers61c30,107$18,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,364.981,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Raptors38c29,332$11,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,185.7661851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers63c26,604$16,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,835.3763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Cavaliers59c25,731$15,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,065.171915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Cavaliers61c25,518$15,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,692.8516346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3b…0230backed Cavaliers4c25,275$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.244067.5%27 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers63c24,732$15,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,581.246459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Raptors39c24,703$9,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,068.565036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Raptors40c24,100$9,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,4607243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Cavaliers61c23,481$14,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,377.678035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9b…945abacked Cavaliers61c21,574$13,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,160.014151.2%21 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers73c21,302$15,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,655.5376850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers50c20,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5f6…a659backed Raptors38c20,000$7,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,399.9427241.9%114 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers64c18,518$11,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,820.6220946.9%98 W · 111 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Raptors43c18,064$7,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,296.6328241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers61c17,743$10,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,764.194,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers57c17,536$9,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,995.2916547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed Raptors43c16,826$7,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,588.456060%36 W · 24 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x41bb…26e8backed Cavaliers57c16,301$9,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,222.041866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Cavaliers8c16,030$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,245.281417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers57c15,742$8,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,935.982,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedfd…5792backed Cavaliers72c13,523$9,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,733.23250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Cavaliers69c13,000$9,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0101315.4%2 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick38cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers57c12,469$7,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,107.2722458.9%132 W · 92 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed Cavaliers63c12,428$7,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,853.425567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed Raptors39c12,351$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,534.286243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors28c11,448$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,242.5659646.1%275 W · 321 L-16.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Cavaliers28c11,081$3,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.123179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Cavaliers53c11,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80032846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Raptors32c10,565$3,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,173.4642645.5%194 W · 232 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked Raptors10c10,406$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,365.42642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers60c10,222$6,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Cavaliers0c10,001$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4254…efe7backed Raptors40c9,744$3,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Raptors40c9,743$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,873.7862144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x817a…7e90backed Cavaliers1c9,406$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.061127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+42.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers59c9,061$5,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,387.741,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors34c8,927$3,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,869.318,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers65c8,742$5,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,673.682,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Raptors27c8,236$2,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,012.6395651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44d…935cbacked Raptors80c8,105$6,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.9417162.6%107 W · 64 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f90…acffbacked Cavaliers61c8,028$4,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,896.875066%33 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers61c8,005$4,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8831,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38a…3293backed Cavaliers62c7,914$4,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,877.05616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Cavaliers63c7,615$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,832.771442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3daa…65bfbacked Cavaliers72c6,954$5,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,007.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Cavaliers49c6,691$3,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,256.382445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Raptors39c6,500$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,964.9937539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b5…b7b3backed Cavaliers61c6,484$3,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,955.233764.9%24 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+58.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Raptors38c6,482$2,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,024.7434852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked Cavaliers74c6,465$4,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,788.387839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Cavaliers51c6,175$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.758451.2%43 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Raptors39c6,167$2,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,780.6519937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b50…e9cebacked Raptors40c6,042$2,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.121650%8 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Raptors39c5,707$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,468.666240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x535c…96babacked Raptors44c5,652$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,165.21947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7690…74e1backed Cavaliers66c5,443$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.052060%12 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Cavaliers62c5,375$3,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,332.251,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors38c5,205$1,957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.21,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Raptors40c5,203$2,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,142.75,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Raptors35c5,150$1,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,348.5855251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Cavaliers60c5,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00043352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Raptors33c4,951$1,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.4122036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors41c4,823$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,845.3972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors39c4,744$1,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.881,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd384…86dabacked Raptors33c4,639$1,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,090.272119%4 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Cavaliers61c4,590$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.918558.8%50 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Raptors21c4,528$953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,575.021855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Raptors43c4,500$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5653641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.