NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Raptors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9cde4bf7fa69dd5832fef13a2e6a0c6ebd322e4a1658b8a5f8c41c05494528a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,658,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,662,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,658,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 39c | 550,262$212,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337,422.11 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 39c | 309,990$120,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189,093.7 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Cavaliers | 61c | 228,906$139,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139,664.36 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Cavaliers | 60c | 208,772$125,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,263.45 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 62c | 197,150$122,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122,231.1 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Raptors | 38c | 150,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,999.85 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 110,564$67,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,444 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 69c | 98,033$67,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,214.67 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Cavaliers | 62c | 89,422$55,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,441.61 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors | 53c | 81,713$42,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,725.34 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers | 62c | 81,252$50,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,376.38 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Raptors | 42c | 80,806$33,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,066.17 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…8060backed Raptors | 39c | 70,000$27,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,699.92 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Raptors | 80c | 61,750$49,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,350 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Raptors | 43c | 59,962$25,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,371.95 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Raptors | 40c | 55,280$22,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,217.46 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Cavaliers | 59c | 54,548$32,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,069.23 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Raptors | 42c | 50,570$21,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,097.5 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Raptors | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,999.99 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Cavaliers | 65c | 49,811$32,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,509.23 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…582fbacked Cavaliers | 62c | 48,860$30,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,293.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 46,628$28,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,647.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Raptors | 38c | 44,811$17,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,782.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 50c | 36,177$17,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,998.06 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Cavaliers | 62c | 34,767$21,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,555.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Cavaliers | 61c | 34,458$20,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,974.93 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…99f0backed Raptors | 46c | 33,401$15,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,040.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cavaliers | 2c | 33,342$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cavaliers | 27c | 32,509$8,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,870.99 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Raptors | 28c | 31,855$8,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,874.31 | 82 | 25.6%21 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers | 61c | 30,107$18,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,364.98 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Raptors | 38c | 29,332$11,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,185.76 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 63c | 26,604$16,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,835.37 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Cavaliers | 59c | 25,731$15,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,065.17 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Cavaliers | 61c | 25,518$15,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,692.85 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…0230backed Cavaliers | 4c | 25,275$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.24 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cavaliers | 63c | 24,732$15,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,581.24 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Raptors | 39c | 24,703$9,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,068.56 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Raptors | 40c | 24,100$9,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,460 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8516…93a0backed Cavaliers | 61c | 23,481$14,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,377.67 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9b…945abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 21,574$13,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,160.01 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers | 73c | 21,302$15,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,655.53 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Cavaliers | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Raptors | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,399.94 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Cavaliers | 64c | 18,518$11,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,820.62 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Raptors | 43c | 18,064$7,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,296.63 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 61c | 17,743$10,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,764.19 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Cavaliers | 57c | 17,536$9,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,995.29 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Raptors | 43c | 16,826$7,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,588.45 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Cavaliers | 57c | 16,301$9,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,222.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…a262backed Cavaliers | 8c | 16,030$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.28 | 141 | 7.8%11 W · 130 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 57c | 15,742$8,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,935.98 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedfd…5792backed Cavaliers | 72c | 13,523$9,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,733.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 13,000$9,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,010 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Cavaliers | 57c | 12,469$7,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,107.27 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Cavaliers | 63c | 12,428$7,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,853.42 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Raptors | 39c | 12,351$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,534.28 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raptors | 28c | 11,448$3,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,242.56 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Cavaliers | 28c | 11,081$3,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.12 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Cavaliers | 53c | 11,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Raptors | 32c | 10,565$3,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,173.46 | 426 | 45.5%194 W · 232 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Raptors | 10c | 10,406$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,365.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 60c | 10,222$6,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.2 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Cavaliers | 0c | 10,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…efe7backed Raptors | 40c | 9,744$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,846.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Raptors | 40c | 9,743$3,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.78 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…7e90backed Cavaliers | 1c | 9,406$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cavaliers | 59c | 9,061$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,387.74 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 34c | 8,927$3,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.31 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 65c | 8,742$5,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,673.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Raptors | 27c | 8,236$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,012.63 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…935cbacked Raptors | 80c | 8,105$6,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.94 | 171 | 62.6%107 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f90…acffbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 8,028$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,896.87 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 61c | 8,005$4,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,883 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Cavaliers | 62c | 7,914$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Cavaliers | 63c | 7,615$4,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,832.77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…65bfbacked Cavaliers | 72c | 6,954$5,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,007.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,691$3,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,256.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Raptors | 39c | 6,500$2,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.99 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…b7b3backed Cavaliers | 61c | 6,484$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.23 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Raptors | 38c | 6,482$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,024.74 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aab…c4ddbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 6,465$4,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,788.38 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,175$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.75 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Raptors | 39c | 6,167$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780.65 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b50…e9cebacked Raptors | 40c | 6,042$2,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,625.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Raptors | 39c | 5,707$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,468.66 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x535c…96babacked Raptors | 44c | 5,652$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.2 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Cavaliers | 66c | 5,443$3,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,617.05 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 5,375$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.25 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Raptors | 38c | 5,205$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.2 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Raptors | 40c | 5,203$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,142.7 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Raptors | 35c | 5,150$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.58 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…f4dabacked Cavaliers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 433 | 52.2%226 W · 207 L | +19.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Raptors | 33c | 4,951$1,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,306.41 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Raptors | 41c | 4,823$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,845.39 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 39c | 4,744$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,893.88 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…86dabacked Raptors | 33c | 4,639$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,090.27 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Cavaliers | 61c | 4,590$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.91 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Raptors | 21c | 4,528$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x073a…91e7backed Raptors | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Raptorsthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 175.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 177.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 182.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 185.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 188.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 191.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 197.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 205.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 211.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.