NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f8ad99a831e2d473ae2f8f3a66cc671352d079d46bfe0c4676c6372b618cc6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $340,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors | 47c | 117,660$55,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,458.55 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers | 53c | 103,676$54,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,793.63 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors | 48c | 54,562$26,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,372.14 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Raptors | 48c | 27,402$13,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,309.6 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 54c | 19,808$10,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,696.4 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 37c | 13,578$5,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors | 46c | 12,135$5,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,553.15 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 44c | 10,399$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 41c | 10,137$4,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,202.01 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cavaliers | 53c | 9,999$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.65 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Raptors | 47c | 9,970$4,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,284.34 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 9,542$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.82 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 8,061$4,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,191.7 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 6,414$3,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,271.36 | 155 | 45.8%71 W · 84 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors | 61c | 6,315$3,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.65 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Raptors | 47c | 5,809$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.88 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 5,738$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,931.55 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf4…43f7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 5,386$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,920.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,848$2,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.62 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Raptors | 71c | 4,173$2,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.75 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 4,145$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.23 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 4,141$2,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.11 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors | 49c | 3,878$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,977.58 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Cavaliers | 54c | 3,209$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.82 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Cavaliers | 45c | 3,162$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.32 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Raptors | 41c | 2,240$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.6 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,132$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.2 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers | 59c | 2,132$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.85 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Cavaliers | 52c | 2,125$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.73 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Cavaliers | 53c | 2,017$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.98 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,893$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,873$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2b…97fdbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 1,866$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.23 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 690 | 49.4%341 W · 349 L | -30.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,813$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.12 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Raptors | 57c | 1,805$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.64 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.21per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,779$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.84 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…dfd8backed Cavaliers | 53c | 1,649$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,491$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.21 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc4…a439backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,457$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.54 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors | 53c | 1,417$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.87 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Cavaliers | 53c | 1,376$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.32 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09e3…48acbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 1,300$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.95 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors | 52c | 1,279$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.25 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,234$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.03 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,216$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…3b66backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,172$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Cavaliers | 52c | 1,167$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.09 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Raptors | 50c | 1,136$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.75 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…1986backed Raptors | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…da7fbacked Raptors | 48c | 1,004$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…9d33backed Cavaliers | 52c | 989.88$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.74 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…92d6backed Raptors | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0c…160cbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.02 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers | 22c | 963.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Raptors | 45c | 934.73$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.76 | 258 | 40.7%105 W · 153 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers | 53c | 934.5$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.29 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Cavaliers | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…83d6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 933.85$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 917.75$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.58 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Cavaliers | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb097…0e61backed Cavaliers | 52c | 898.66$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.3 | 122 | 40.2%49 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 785.11$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.27 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Cavaliers | 67c | 727.98$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.2 | 271 | 58.3%158 W · 113 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Cavaliers | 54c | 723.9$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 232 | 51.7%120 W · 112 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 705.93$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.14 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 696.76$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.28 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d46…3248backed Cavaliers | 33c | 639.69$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.1 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Raptors | 47c | 612.83$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.57 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 599.97$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 579.81$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa663…eceabacked Cavaliers | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Raptors | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 160 | 50%80 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81ea…8b9abacked Cavaliers | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Raptors | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers | 52c | 485.6$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors | 45c | 445.62$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.67 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c02…d4b7backed Cavaliers | 54c | 434.37$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers | 52c | 425$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Cavaliers | 33c | 417.87$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfe…9408backed Cavaliers | 52c | 407.9$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.11 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers | 53c | 396.66$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.41 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bd…463dbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 388.48$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.01 | 382 | 61.5%235 W · 147 L | +30.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…ffa9backed Cavaliers | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Cavaliers | 57c | 360$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Cavaliers | 54c | 358.35$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +51%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 47c | 345.88$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.93 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers | 40c | 312.57$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 342 | 55.6%190 W · 152 L | +28.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…f231backed Raptors | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers | 30c | 292$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.39 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 291.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.51 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Raptors | 65c | 288.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…0505backed Cavaliers | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Cavaliers | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…438cbacked Cavaliers | 58c | 260.76$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…abb3backed Cavaliers | 49c | 258.25$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Cavaliers | 44c | 252.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 148 | 45.3%67 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cavaliers | 53c | 248.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.07 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Raptors won
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- Brandon Ingram: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H MoneylineRaptors won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H O/U 107.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 175.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 177.5Over won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 182.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 185.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 188.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 191.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 197.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 205.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 211.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 221.5Under won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Immanuel Quickley: Points O/U 2.5No won
- James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- James Harden: Points O/U 19.5No won
- James Harden: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5Yes won
- Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 7.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)Raptors won
- Spread: Raptors (-2.5)Raptors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.