TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$346,685
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$340,387

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,685 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Raptors47c117,660$55,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,458.554,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cavaliers53c103,676$54,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,793.6364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Raptors48c54,562$26,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,372.1487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Raptors48c27,402$13,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,309.669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers54c19,808$10,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,696.442348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers37c13,578$5,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,060.723,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Raptors46c12,135$5,582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,553.1566248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers44c10,399$4,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,561.28,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers41c10,137$4,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,202.012,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Cavaliers53c9,999$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,299.6538434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Raptors47c9,970$4,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,284.3449244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers53c9,542$5,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,009.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Cavaliers52c8,061$4,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,191.712056.7%68 W · 52 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Cavaliers51c6,414$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.3615545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Raptors61c6,315$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.6593148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Raptors47c5,809$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,078.88825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cavaliers51c5,738$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,931.5555251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Cavaliers54c5,386$2,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Cavaliers52c4,848$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.6212646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Raptors71c4,173$2,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.752,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Cavaliers54c4,145$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,238.237353.4%39 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Cavaliers52c4,141$2,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.114949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Raptors49c3,878$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,977.5879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Cavaliers54c3,209$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.8217055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Cavaliers45c3,162$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.3226337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Cavaliers52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56087750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Raptors41c2,240$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.620856.7%118 W · 90 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Cavaliers53c2,132$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.221957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Cavaliers59c2,132$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.8556646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Cavaliers52c2,125$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.7314254.9%78 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Cavaliers53c2,017$1,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.9817551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Cavaliers54c1,893$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.313941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors48c1,873$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.736,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d2b…97fdbacked Cavaliers52c1,866$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.236543.1%28 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Cavaliers53c1,834$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.869049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Cavaliers53c1,813$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.126053.3%32 W · 28 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Raptors57c1,805$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.641968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cavaliers46c1,779$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.841,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13b7…dfd8backed Cavaliers53c1,649$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.611457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Cavaliers52c1,491$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.2118444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Cavaliers52c1,457$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757.5419547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Raptors53c1,417$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.871,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b62…728abacked Cavaliers53c1,376$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.3211556.5%65 W · 50 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09e3…48acbacked Cavaliers51c1,300$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.9514746.9%69 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Raptors52c1,279$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.2573649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Raptors48c1,234$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.0362051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers52c1,216$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.551,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7e…3b66backed Cavaliers52c1,172$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Cavaliers52c1,167$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.0912542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Raptors50c1,136$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.7561638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6967…1986backed Raptors47c1,065$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.461353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e31…da7fbacked Raptors48c1,004$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.141250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Cavaliers52c989.88$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.746541.5%27 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Raptors49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.483855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f0c…160cbacked Cavaliers52c971.2$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.0213858%80 W · 58 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Cavaliers22c963.58$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.711,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Raptors45c934.73$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7625840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Cavaliers53c934.5$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.2910949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Cavaliers52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.63737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9ee5…83d6backed Cavaliers52c933.85$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Cavaliers54c917.75$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.5863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Cavaliers54c900.37$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.27448.6%36 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb097…0e61backed Cavaliers52c898.66$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.312240.2%49 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Cavaliers48c785.11$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2768838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Cavaliers67c727.98$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.227158.3%158 W · 113 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Cavaliers54c723.9$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.9423251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Cavaliers53c705.93$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.1411743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Cavaliers53c696.76$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.288242.7%35 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Cavaliers33c639.69$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.14746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Raptors47c612.83$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.571,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff8…3c8bbacked Cavaliers51c599.97$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.995740.4%23 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-21.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Cavaliers52c579.81$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.57565.3%49 W · 26 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa663…eceabacked Cavaliers53c550.08$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.542142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Raptors48c504.58$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.3816050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81ea…8b9abacked Cavaliers51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25515650%78 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Raptors48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Cavaliers53c485.9$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5332450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Cavaliers52c485.6$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.5147651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Raptors45c445.62$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.672,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c02…d4b7backed Cavaliers54c434.37$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.562744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-23.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Cavaliers52c425$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22156043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Cavaliers33c417.87$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8421848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bfe…9408backed Cavaliers52c407.9$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.115637.5%21 W · 35 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Cavaliers53c396.66$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4145251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8bd…463dbacked Cavaliers52c388.48$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.0138261.5%235 W · 147 L+30.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xffac…ffa9backed Cavaliers54c360.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.481346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc7…7f02backed Cavaliers57c360$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.27557.3%43 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Cavaliers54c358.35$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.513554.3%19 W · 16 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+51%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers47c345.88$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.935,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Cavaliers40c312.57$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.3834255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Raptors66c296.85$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.932347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Cavaliers30c292$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3989444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Cavaliers52c291.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed Raptors65c288.74$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6210752.3%56 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf12f…0505backed Cavaliers52c280.15$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.681936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x332e…df71backed Cavaliers53c275.04$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.775048%24 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae94…438cbacked Cavaliers58c260.76$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.248744.8%39 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21a2…abb3backed Cavaliers49c258.25$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.841850%9 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Cavaliers44c252.51$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5614845.3%67 W · 81 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Cavaliers53c248.01$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0720154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.