TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

RJ Barrett: Points O/U 20.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,226 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xedf7…8f79backed No50c1,293$644 inWon+$649.371,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No47c400$188 inWon+$21290863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5d36…8f64backed Yes53c396.05$210 inLost-$209.913948.7%19 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+39.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No48c257.12$123 inWon+$133.756050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Yes52c105.31$54 inLost-$54.279658.3%56 W · 40 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes50c100$50 inLost-$5041050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Yes52c93.38$49 inLost-$48.5619951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1495…d3f9backed Yes52c74.71$39 inLost-$38.8515048%72 W · 78 L+8.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd210…92dfbacked Yes50c58.2$29 inLost-$29.121646.3%100 W · 116 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0024…9238backed Yes50c48.5$24 inLost-$24.251650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Yes53c45.93$24 inLost-$24.299843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes53c45.84$24 inLost-$24.312735.4%45 W · 82 L-12.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No49c40$20 inWon+$20.443752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8c0…e44bbacked Yes51c39.99$20 inLost-$20.397443.2%32 W · 42 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No45c39.29$18 inWon+$21.6876247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x883a…f5a0backed Yes52c37.63$19 inLost-$19.422638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed No50c29.1$15 inWon+$14.555752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9710…0ee6backed Yes56c26.08$15 inLost-$14.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ea…4013backed No48c22.4$11 inWon+$11.655046%23 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.