TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,726
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,726 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8545…23bebacked Over49c10,491$5,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over33c5,654$1,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,851.48,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Under51c5,651$2,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.1714441%59 W · 85 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4370…61aebacked Under51c4,701$2,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,303.37633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under54c3,787$2,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.0117055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over23c3,050$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.873,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over52c2,802$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.817553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98089853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Over50c1,937$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.3110046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Under51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.5418349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Under51c1,683$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.583342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over48c1,501$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.9562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under54c1,441$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.677054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under51c1,337$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.894535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over52c1,310$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.793855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over25c1,253$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.2493148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c1,171$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.074,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over47c1,134$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.331,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,087$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0864651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Over47c1,021$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.235347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c1,004$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5208348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under50c988.51$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.2666352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Under52c909.27$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.455839.7%23 W · 35 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over49c752.02$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.4944740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e11…2c9bbacked Over48c747.28$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54a3…1c90backed Over46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3221145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa19…e444backed Under53c656.82$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.441485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under48c564.46$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5243348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over4c499.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over7c491.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2325840.7%105 W · 153 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Over49c488.66$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.443850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over49c440.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0318650%93 W · 93 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over47c420$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.41,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under49c407.67$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.4132045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over46c365.81$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5564948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Under54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.672556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over49c330.05$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7315246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6947…296dbacked Over50c322.04$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.021741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over35c311.31$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2537647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under51c293$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.571,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Under52c291.36$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.8521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over49c276.97$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.7295452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over46c271.52$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Over38c252.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0411232.1%36 W · 76 L-17.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over50c244.74$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.372254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9418850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Over50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9723652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Under52c192.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3419548.7%95 W · 100 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over7c186.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.018641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Under55c176.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.616844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under51c167.48$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.069653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x917f…143cbacked Over49c166.8$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under50c163.67$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.210552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc689…5250backed Over49c142.99$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.073767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Under76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1211261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d91…72f1backed Over50c116.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under49c111.43$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under64c102.22$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.3355846.8%261 W · 297 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x322e…308ebacked Under52c98.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.513240.6%13 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over46c98.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.171,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.568154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b2…3ebfbacked Over47c96.82$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.513036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x63f2…e0c9backed Under52c93.38$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.825054%27 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under50c92.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0862049%304 W · 316 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over49c89.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.088850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5495…fc8cbacked Under55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.82339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c82.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.571,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over35c82.37$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.833941%16 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under52c80.31$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5512458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over51c78.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0631955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under50c74.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7317043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x454e…f684backed Under53c72.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.954546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c72.82$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ab4…b569backed Under76c65.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.724864.6%31 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf32c…c483backed Over33c61.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over49c59.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.081,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.11,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Under51c57.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.9867949.8%338 W · 341 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over51c57.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1225360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Over35c54.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2214150.4%71 W · 70 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x883a…f5a0backed Over49c54.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.672638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5193543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf596…4b79backed Under75c52.53$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.133363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Over49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.543750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Over49c49.46$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2427945.9%128 W · 151 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9f…8e23backed Under51c45.81$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.454247.6%20 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over36c44.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0820647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c42.55$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Under51c40.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9710…0ee6backed Under49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.182161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71b6…4e91backed Over49c39.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3936350.1%182 W · 181 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Under54c38.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8937253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a1…578abacked Over51c38.06$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.412441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf7e6…83a4backed Under52c37.35$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.938453.6%45 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Under50c31.85$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.932152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3a…7bdcbacked Under49c28.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb700…5a62backed Over49c26.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8417660.8%107 W · 69 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.