TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Scottie Barnes: Points O/U 19.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,578

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5eae…a704backed Yes55c395.57$218 inWon+$178.011729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+109.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Yes56c358.84$201 inWon+$158.293246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No44c299.96$132 inLost-$131.9856050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No44c252.53$111 inLost-$111.112,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No45c193.4$87 inLost-$87.0393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No45c133.02$60 inLost-$59.869947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed No45c99.98$45 inLost-$44.9941050.7%208 W · 202 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed No45c77.02$35 inLost-$34.665,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No45c75$34 inLost-$33.7536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No46c70$32 inLost-$3243752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aee…be54backed Yes56c60.85$34 inWon+$26.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Yes54c45.02$24 inWon+$20.719843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0713…4cbfbacked Yes55c43.96$24 inWon+$19.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x486e…62c7backed Yes56c43.46$24 inWon+$19.123158.1%18 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0cef…9d08backed No45c42.98$19 inLost-$19.345752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…54b2backed Yes55c36.43$20 inWon+$16.391457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883a…f5a0backed Yes55c35.64$19 inWon+$16.182638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8102…988abacked Yes56c34.77$19 inWon+$15.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes56c31.29$18 inWon+$13.7710844.4%48 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9710…0ee6backed Yes56c26.08$15 inWon+$11.472161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf6b…256fbacked Yes56c26.08$15 inWon+$11.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Yes55c24.32$13 inWon+$11.0425657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…90afbacked Yes55c20.82$11 inWon+$9.375561.8%34 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.