TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Raptorsof Cavaliers, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,988

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,100 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cavaliers67c447.25$300 inLost-$300.021,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Raptors19c383.35$72 inWon+$311.0321848.2%105 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Raptors54c365.73$197 inWon+$168.2416147.2%76 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb103…1745backed Cavaliers66c289.18$191 inLost-$190.866065%39 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Raptors41c215.25$88 inWon+$12769848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Cavaliers59c206.65$122 inLost-$121.933246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Raptors22c196.43$44 inWon+$152.4876653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers59c146.31$86 inLost-$86.3241227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Raptors15c132.44$20 inWon+$112.761,17050.3%588 W · 582 L+46.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Raptors41c100$41 inWon+$5936749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c24…cfdcbacked Raptors43c84.44$36 inWon+$48.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Cavaliers57c69.33$40 inLost-$39.521,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cavaliers61c65$39 inLost-$39.3832654.6%178 W · 148 L+22.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Cavaliers21c53$11 inLost-$11.1316640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Raptors39c50.66$20 inWon+$30.9136247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x630b…34ffbacked Raptors55c44.21$24 inWon+$19.899843.9%43 W · 55 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Cavaliers57c37.99$22 inLost-$21.6617553.7%94 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed90…d1ffbacked Raptors54c36.01$19 inWon+$16.571346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61c6…d3d9backed Raptors43c33.69$14 inWon+$19.23745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x562f…a7d3backed Cavaliers64c33.63$22 inLost-$21.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Raptors41c33.39$14 inWon+$19.72,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffd7…758bbacked Raptors46c23.6$11 inWon+$12.741435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Cavaliers55c22.22$12 inLost-$12.2233556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.