TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$403,975
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$420,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $403,975 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c250,403$121,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,177.1869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c188,719$97,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,593.219754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3de4…b032backed Over48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,2002458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under52c30,903$16,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,894.981,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under50c19,938$9,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,952.9137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under52c17,676$9,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,484.420744.9%93 W · 114 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Under52c14,008$7,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,723.6932351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under52c14,008$7,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,723.6990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under52c11,169$5,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,361.0214538.6%56 W · 89 L-12.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over49c11,082$5,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,433.084,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe193…cc85backed Over51c10,000$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,099.996457.8%37 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under52c9,338$4,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,482.461,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c6,905$3,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,511.938946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over22c4,333$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.24264.3%27 W · 15 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6204…0b06backed Over48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9204134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.1wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-27.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over50c3,958$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,978.9556453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under52c3,901$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.8716547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Under52c3,735$1,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,792.585341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c3,697$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.381,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over22c2,409$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.171,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78b0…9f1abacked Over51c2,059$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.191361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over48c1,929$926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.711,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf01a…cc6abacked Under52c1,918$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.411844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c1,634$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.1166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80030446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over7c1,525$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1028641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over49c1,512$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.7964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed Under52c1,494$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.3212058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over18c1,484$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.4989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c1,470$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.0249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c1,295$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.5170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over50c1,237$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.5262051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under50c1,164$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58227746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Over51c1,142$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.3615246.7%71 W · 81 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011757.3%67 W · 50 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over35c985.3$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over51c951.57$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.395452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c949.66$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.3343348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under52c933.55$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.136852.2%192 W · 176 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Under52c853.79$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.826238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Under52c840.35$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.3723650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under52c776.96$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9411153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4af0…9996backed Over51c764.89$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over48c753.69$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.181,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d22…403ebacked Under52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.64156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under52c709.72$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ee…5506backed Over49c660.77$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.78850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over48c656.86$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.292,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c2…eef4backed Over51c647.07$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3307936.7%29 W · 50 L-9.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Over51c617.3$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.822958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Over51c582.36$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2978148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Under52c560.4$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0441753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over49c550$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over49c512.81$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.2845251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over49c483.73$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.0334850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b2…3ebfbacked Over48c458.92$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.753036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-33%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over43c422.88$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.661656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…0758backed Over51c418.69$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.533243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa485…92a5backed Under52c414.63$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.023148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.888256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Over4c394.57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Under52c373.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.321354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6e…271bbacked Under52c373.52$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2915352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Over49c357.29$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.072948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Under52c337.51$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.019651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under60c327.02$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.852347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x348f…a206backed Over49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.415848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c281.49$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1091…a37fbacked Over6c279.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c269.88$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.941,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd480…799ebacked Under80c247$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.417742.4%75 W · 102 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Over49c245.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.211145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over20c209.96$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0676653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Over41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8211347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.945549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9416849.4%83 W · 85 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9756154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9718552.4%97 W · 88 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb503…7552backed Over50c191.4$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.714155.3%78 W · 63 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c189.38$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.81,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Under52c187.44$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9729352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6532450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Over21c168.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.464746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ea3…a8aebacked Under52c142.74$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.516858.8%40 W · 28 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x14dd…3fc6backed Over50c142.68$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7280%0 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Over49c140.09$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6411239.3%44 W · 68 L-11.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a23…442cbacked Over48c137.05$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Under75c122.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.664470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over11c113.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8760049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under68c112.97$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4122942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8001…c76fbacked Under52c111.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.619046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Over50c108.64$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3262450%312 W · 312 L-2.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6281…e326backed Over50c98.94$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.477448.6%36 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5325360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under49c89.03$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.493145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Under61c79.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.0813949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f9…2c46backed Over49c78.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Under52c74.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.867945.6%36 W · 43 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfae6…920ebacked Over28c67.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.961526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.