TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2366…580f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
237
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT11347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.99
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$108
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$144
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT6847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+145.3%+$177.7
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.69
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$309.99
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$115.99
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$70.01
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$56
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.18
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.99
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.55
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$83
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$87
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or below on April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$62.43
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.71
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$38.34
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.9%+$42.13
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$411
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.67
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.6
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.2
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$122
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Spread: Egypt (-2.5)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+32%+$48.5
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$132
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+265.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+446.3%+$646.21
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$183.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+170.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Tijuana vs. Club Santos Laguna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.