TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$804,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$867,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $804,522 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 465 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b89…4244backed Under47c98,186$46,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,070.0117550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c77,391$41,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,117.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf81…6e25backed Under28c50,337$14,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,171.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c46,152$36,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,880.112,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over56c37,925$21,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,727.5614343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over56c30,323$16,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,386.7677152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under28c25,356$7,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,218.6964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Over36c25,305$9,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,195.059323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over73c21,721$15,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,810.773,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over54c19,717$10,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,989.421,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over52c18,712$9,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,981.7837242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over36c17,298$6,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,070.721,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over55c15,555$8,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.7442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4587…7bc9backed Under47c14,284$6,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,713.463850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Over47c14,219$6,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,591.5129633.4%99 W · 197 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over53c13,655$7,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,381.475335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over55c12,416$6,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,639.4931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c0…4f3dbacked Over35c10,286$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,685.717632.9%25 W · 51 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Under65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,50010059%59 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over37c10,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,299.9138026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c8,387$3,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,022.628,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over70c7,409$5,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,221.9339644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f82…a84abacked Under15c6,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00080%0 W · 8 L-3.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over60c6,614$3,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.8543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under14c6,487$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.6713234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over72c6,026$4,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.31,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25d5…104bbacked Over40c6,021$2,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,604.971250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c5,893$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,539.991,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59fc…5054backed Over38c5,735$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,555.931250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under63c5,347$3,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,395.41,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Under17c5,188$869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$869.328042.1%118 W · 162 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2009823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69e7…0824backed Over40c4,969$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.896155.7%34 W · 27 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c4,813$2,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,066.354,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45ad…55b7backed Over66c4,545$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.456459.4%38 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Over61c4,280$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,688.8933740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over66c4,066$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.571,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under64c3,887$2,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,487.6628229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under37c3,860$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.42,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under63c3,851$2,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,426.1877433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Under15c3,759$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.931945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over38c3,587$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.8432922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over62c3,455$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.223857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd2f3…37f9backed Under45c3,183$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.395543.6%24 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e86…cb8fbacked Under65c3,127$2,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,032.552934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under63c3,120$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.862,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…02b5backed Over39c3,051$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.5826644%117 W · 149 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,83050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0203554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18d8…6b26backed Under18c2,980$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.073713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over35c2,891$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,876.5995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over36c2,778$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,777.7889443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over37c2,620$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.6730220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Under34c2,611$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90014946.3%69 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under64c2,541$1,618 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,618.431,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under37c2,517$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.8834845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under63c2,498$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.582,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed Over39c2,487$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.187032.9%23 W · 47 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Over39c2,400$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,46444144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under65c2,303$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,496.952,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under12c2,125$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.0524626%64 W · 182 L+1.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over40c2,014$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.0351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over64c2,005$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.562,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under31c2,000$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.8966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Over36c1,900$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2166847.1%32 W · 36 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Under41c1,893$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.6445536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under63c1,721$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over38c1,711$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.5322749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under28c1,681$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.812,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Over39c1,600$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e2…4b9cbacked Under16c1,595$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2418929.1%55 W · 134 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over72c1,502$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6437944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over35c1,424$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.757859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under64c1,400$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89633149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over67c1,400$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.1438333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.894820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f67…a203backed Over36c1,389$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.8915937.7%60 W · 99 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over44c1,357$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.4233544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8de4…a68fbacked Over38c1,316$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.786848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over73c1,251$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.794,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb866…36d4backed Under61c1,232$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.5530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9def…6eacbacked Under45c1,222$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid+4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over50c1,202$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.0822846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under65c1,183$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb8…32e0backed Over70c1,151$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over35c1,143$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.8629138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under33c1,130$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.8930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…17e8backed Under45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51724626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Under64c1,096$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under61c1,092$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.046648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under63c1,091$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.468141.1%280 W · 401 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under60c1,083$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65014564.1%93 W · 52 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under46c1,050$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4837338.4%28 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f2…4274backed Over70c1,043$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Over38c1,026$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.3218626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over67c1,026$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.222,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42ad…6b11backed Under30c1,010$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.