TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$86,263

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,611 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee67…ef38backed Over39c18,161$7,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,078.049323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under61c10,206$6,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,225.9174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under61c8,610$5,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,240.692250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over39c8,025$3,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.22,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under61c7,400$4,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5141,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over39c6,710$2,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.251,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over56c3,963$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,748.372,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under1c3,668$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.158,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc769…8316backed Under62c3,226$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007751.9%40 W · 37 L+7.1wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c2,757$744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.453,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed Under62c2,733$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,683.516640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over39c1,538$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.4689443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Under61c1,400$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85433149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c1,344$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.652,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under61c1,266$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.293,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under60c1,141$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.522,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under61c1,083$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.6370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under61c1,050$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6401,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Under2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over40c1,000$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60032922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under61c978.38$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under29c943.89$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under5c775.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.872,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under31c691.03$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.0229740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under27c658.26$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9634122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under60c604.78$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.941,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82e7…c61cbacked Over39c487.18$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.1813167.9%89 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over71c486.83$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.284,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5736539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over71c407.98$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.481,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83bf…8aa4backed Under31c369$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3912348%59 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under31c343.75$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.063,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c333.62$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.332,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Under62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed Over70c321.41$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4233438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under30c306.72$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9523637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under61c300$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1837757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over44c274.29$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.091,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under8c274$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.942,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf40…527abacked Over39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-42.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc29…422abacked Over39c255.03$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.575930.5%18 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under32c250$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8019448.5%94 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3314…67f5backed Over39c248.72$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.721225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-38.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over42c241$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.742,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under31c234.65$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5469534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c211.88$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.24,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.671,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over69c183.53$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3521143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under61c180$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.81,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under26c177.5$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.151,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Under61c162.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007358.9%43 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over79c150$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9343246.8%202 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under61c144.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.064725.5%12 W · 35 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-43.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under61c144.36$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under13c143.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.362,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under61c142.49$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9231149.5%154 W · 157 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9516…0bcbbacked Over38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5856240.6%228 W · 334 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2110146.5%47 W · 54 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Over38c127.16$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8423729.5%70 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89f7…f073backed Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7513638.2%52 W · 84 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over41c123.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1927637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c112.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.344,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under61c101$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.613,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over40c99.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Under60c90.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2923540.9%96 W · 139 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Under61c90.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over38c88.65$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9631046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e52…ec62backed Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Over40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455834.5%20 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Over41c72.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.617142.3%30 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under32c67.88$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7225049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd31c…7424backed Under61c65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6530060%180 W · 120 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.127742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc3b…d591backed Under43c62.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277749.4%38 W · 39 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under24c59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.162,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc169…cb6abacked Over39c56.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4117047.1%80 W · 90 L+10.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5f1…c7ffbacked Over39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.282454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.581554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1450146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Under61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.550950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over72c49.43$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8413530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Over41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.789953.5%53 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e62…79f1backed Under59c46.64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5226449.2%130 W · 134 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over40c45$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2716437.2%61 W · 103 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over70c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Over40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.58429.8%25 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under63c35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.052,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe811…ac72backed Under60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202050%10 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf830…c2dbbacked Over39c30.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.773548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Over39c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.35251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under61c27.51$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7825857%147 W · 111 L-1.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a07…267fbacked Over70c25.47$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6411646.6%54 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b9…92b3backed Under61c21.16$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Under62c20.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0166056.8%375 W · 285 L+34.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over70c20.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.11,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1186656.4%488 W · 378 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.